GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » C-Mer Eye Care Holdings Ltd (HKSE:03309) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

C-Mer Eye Care Holdings (HKSE:03309) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is C-Mer Eye Care Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

C-Mer Eye Care Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

C-Mer Eye Care Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of C-Mer Eye Care Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

C-Mer Eye Care Holdings (HKSE:03309) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » C-Mer Eye Care Holdings Ltd (HKSE:03309) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
HKSE:06639 HKSE:00708 HKSE:01515 HKSE:02373 HKSE:02219 HKSE:02138 HKSE:03886 HKSE:02279 HKSE:01846 HKSE:01526 HCA SZSE:300015 SAU:4013 HKSE:06618 XTER:FRE BKK:BDMS XKLS:5225 BSP:RDOR3 XTER:FME UHS
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1-3 Pedder Street, Suite 1335, Central Building, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Website
https://www.cmereye.com
C-Mer Eye Care Holdings Ltd provides general medical and surgical hospital services. It provides ophthalmic health care, diagnosis, treatment, surgical treatment services, and the sale of vision aid and pharmaceutical products in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company offers cataract, cornea, and ocular surface diseases, glaucoma, vitreoretinal and macular diseases, other eye diseases diagnosis and treatment services, and Chinese medicine treatment of eye diseases. Its segments include Sales of medical consumables, Mainland China ophthalmic business and Mainland China dental business. It generates a vast majority of its revenue from the provision of the ophthalmic services segment.
Executives
C-mer Group Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Lam Shun Chiu Dennis 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Li Xiaoting 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

C-Mer Eye Care Holdings (HKSE:03309) Headlines

No Headlines