HF Foods Group (HF Foods Group) Predictability Rank

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What is HF Foods Group Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

HF Foods Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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HF Foods Group (HF Foods Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Retail - Defensive » HF Foods Group Inc (NAS:HFFG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

6325 South Rainbow Boulevard, Suite 420, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89118

Website

https://www.hffoodsgroup.com

HF Foods Group Inc is an Asian food service distributor that markets and distributes fresh produce, seafood, frozen and dry food, and non-food products to Asian restaurants and other food service customers throughout the United States. The Company's business consists of one operating segment; HF Group, which operates solely in the United States. The Company's customer base consists of Chinese and Asian restaurants, and it provides sales and service support to customers who mainly converse in Mandarin or Chinese dialects.

Executives

Xiao Mou Zhang	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	6001 W. MARKET STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27409
Prudence H Chiang	director	6325 S RAINBOW BLVD STE 420, LAS VEGAS NV 89118
Valerie Chase	director	SOUTH 6325 RAINBOW BOULEVARD, SUITE 420, LAS VEGAS NV 89118
Xi Lin	officer: Chief Operating Officer	6001 W. MARKET STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27409
Russell T. Libby	director	SYSCO CORPORATION, 1390 ENCLAVE PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77077
Christine Chang	officer: See Remarks	19319 ARENTH AVENUE, CITY OF INDUSTRY CA 91748
Hong Wang	director	5811 WILDROSE DRIVE, GREENSBORO NC 27410
Carlos Antonio Rodriguez	officer: Chief Financial Officer	6325 SOUTH RAINBOW BOULEVARD, SUITE 420, LAS VEGAS NV 89118
Jose Maroto	director	6325 SOUTH RAINBOW BOULEVARD, SUITE 420, LAS VEGAS NV 89118
Kong Hian Lee	officer: Chief Financial Officer	19319 ARENTH AVENUE, CITY OF INDUSTRY CA 91748
Spot Light Investments, Llc	10 percent owner	6001 W. MARKET STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27409
Ren Hua Zheng	director	2 DANDY DRIVE, COS COB CT 06807
Caixuan Xu	officer: Chief Financial Officer	6001 W. MARKET ST, GREENSBORO NC 27409
Zhehui Ni	director	ROOM 1704, BUILDING #16, NO. 58 AOMEN ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200061
Irrevocable Trust For Raymond Ni	10 percent owner	6001 WEST MARKET STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27409