Grindr (Grindr) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Grindr Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Grindr Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Grindr Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Grindr's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Grindr (Grindr) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Grindr Inc (NYSE:GRND) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

750 N. San Vincente Boulevard, Suite RE 1400, PO Box 69176750, West Hollywood, CA, USA, 90069

Website

https://www.grindr.com

Grindr Inc is a social networking app for gay, bi, trans, and queer people. It is a social network that brings together gay and bisexual men who want to meet other men close to them in a completely discreet and anonymous way, without having to give any personal information or having to fill out a profile with confidential information in order to register.

Executives

George Arison	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	3727 LA DONNA AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Zage George Raymond Iii	director, 10 percent owner	C/O TIGA ACQUISITION CORP., OFC, LEVEL 40, 10 COLLYER QUAY, SINGAPORE U0 04
Kye Chen	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O GRINDR INC., 750 N. SAN VICENTE BLVD., SUITE RE 1400, WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Carman Wong	other: Former Director of Grindr Inc.	C/O TIGA ACQUISITION CORP., OFC, LEVEL 40, 10 COLLYER QUAY, SINGAPORE U0 049315
Maggie Lower	director	5822 NORTH WINTHROP AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60660
Gary I. Horowitz	director	350 WEST 23RD STREET, APT 6A, NEW YORK NY 10011
Daniel Brooks Baer	director	1443 Q STREET NW, WASHINGTON DC 20009
Meghan Stabler	director	4502 HARVEY PENICK DR, ROUND ROCK TX 78664
Austin J Balance	officer: Chief Product Officer	750 N SAN VICENTE BLVD STE RE1400, WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Lu James Fu Bin	director, 10 percent owner	C/O PLAYTIKA LTD., HACHOSHLIM ST 8, HERZLIYA PITUARCH L3 4672408
Ashish Gupta	other: Former Director of Grindr Inc.	C/O TIGA ACQUISITION CORP., OFC, LEVEL 40, 10 COLLYER QUAY, SINGAPORE U0 049315
Gearon J Michael Jr	director, 10 percent owner	3350 RIVERWOOD PARKWAY, SUITE 425, ATLANTA GA 30339
Ben Falloon	other: Former Director of Grindr Inc.	C/O TIGA ACQUISITION CORP., OFC, LEVEL 40, 10 COLLYER QUAY, SINGAPORE U0 049315
Vandana Mehta-krantz	officer: Chief Financial Officer	SKILLZ INC., C/O CHARLOTTE EDELMAN, P.O. BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104-0445
David Christopher Ryan	other: Former Director of Grindr Inc.	C/O AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP, INC., 777 SOUTH FLAGLER DRIVE, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401