Gamida Cell (Gamida Cell) Predictability Rank

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What is Gamida Cell Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Gamida Cell Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Gamida Cell (Gamida Cell) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Gamida Cell Ltd (OTCPK:GMDAQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

116 Huntington Avenue, 7th Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02116

Website

https://www.gamida-cell.com

Gamida Cell Ltd is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that is pioneering a diverse immunotherapy pipeline of potentially curative cell therapy candidates for patients with solid tumors and blood cancers and other serious blood diseases. The company applies a proprietary expansion platform leveraging the properties of nicotinamide, or NAM, to allogeneic cell sources including umbilical cord blood-derived cells and natural killer, or NK, cells to create cell therapy candidates with the potential to redefine standards of care. Its primary product candidate is Omidubicel, an advanced cell therapy candidate for allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant and GDA-201 is the company's lead investigational NK cell-based cancer immunotherapy product candidate.

Executives

Jeremy Blank	director	6446 DREXEL AVENUE, LOS ANGELES CA 90048
Mary Theresa Coelho	officer: Chief Financial Officer	52 SUNRISE PARK ROAD, NEW HAMPTON NY 43017
Ronit Simantov	officer: CMO & Chief Scientific Officer	1988 CHAPEL STREET, NEW HAVEN CT 06515
Abigail L. Jenkins	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O GAMIDA CELL LTD., 116 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02116
Stephen T Wills	director	PALATIN TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 4B CEDAR BROOK DRIVE, CRANBURY NJ 08512
Ivan M. Borrello	director	C/O GAMIDA CELL LTD., 5 NAHUM HEFTSADIE STREET, GIVAAT SHAUL, JERUSALEM L3 91340
Anat Cohen-dayag	director	C/O GAMIDA CELL LTD., 5 NAHUM HEFTSADIE STREET, GIVAAT SHAUL, JERUSALEM L3 91340
Naama Halevi-davidov	director	C/O KALTURA, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Joshua F. Patterson	officer: General Counsel	C/O AKCEA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 22 BOSTON WHARF ROAD, 9TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02210
Bio Medical Investment (1997) Ltd.	other: Affiliate of 10% Owner	3 AZRIELI CENTER TRIANGLE, TOWER,, 45TH FLOOR, 132 MENACHEM BEGIN ST., TEL AVIV L3 6702301
Shai Lankry	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O GAMIDA CELL LTD., 5 NAHUM HEFTSADIE STREET, GIVAAT SHAUL, JERUSALEM L3 91340
Ai Gamida Holdings Llc	other: Affiliate of 10% Owner	40 WEST 57TH STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ofer Gonen	director	1/3 HIGH-TECH VILLAGE, GIVAT RAM, P.O. BOX 39264, JERUSALEM L3 9139102
Clal Biotechnology Industries Ltd.	other: Affiliate of 10% Owner	3AZRIELI CENTER TRIANGLE TOWER 45 FLOOR, TEL AVIV L3 67023
Len Blavatnik	10 percent owner	C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, 730 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10019