Gores Holdings IX (Gores Holdings IX) Predictability Rank

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What is Gores Holdings IX Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Gores Holdings IX Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Gores Holdings IX Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Gores Holdings IX (Gores Holdings IX) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Gores Holdings IX Inc (NAS:GHIX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

6260 Lookout Road, Boulder, CO, USA, 80301

Website

https://www.gores.com

Gores Holdings IX Inc is a blank check company formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses.

Executives

Alec E Gores	director, 10 percent owner	10877 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 18TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Mark Stone	officer: Chief Executive Officer	10877 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 18TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Aeg Holdings, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	6260 LOOKOUT RD., BOULDER CO 80301
Andrew Mcbride	officer: See Remarks	9800 WILSHIRE BLVD., BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Randy Bort	director	1150 N. ALMA SCHOOL ROAD, MESA AZ 85201
Keith Covington	director	500 WEST ILLINOIS, MIDLAND TX 79701
Elizabeth Marcellino	director	9800 WILSHIRE BLVD., BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Gores Sponsor Ix Llc	director, 10 percent owner	6260 LOOKOUT ROAD, BOULDER CO 80301

Gores Holdings IX (Gores Holdings IX) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Gores Holdings IX, Inc. Announces the Separate Trading of its Class A Common Stock and Warrants Commencing March 4, 2022

By Business Wire Business Wire • 03-01-2022

Gores Holdings IX, Inc. Completes $525 Million Initial Public Offering

By Business Wire Business Wire • 01-14-2022

Gores Holdings IX, Inc. Announces Pricing of $525 Million Initial Public Offering

By Business Wire Business Wire • 01-12-2022