General Enterprise Ventures (General Enterprise Ventures) Predictability Rank

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What is General Enterprise Ventures Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

General Enterprise Ventures Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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General Enterprise Ventures (General Enterprise Ventures) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » General Enterprise Ventures Inc (OTCPK:GEVI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1740H Del Range Bloulevard, Suite 166, Cheyenne, WY, USA, 82009

Website

https://www.generalenterpriseventures.com

General Enterprise Ventures Inc is a fully integrated technology company structured to provide mergers and acquisitions of new and available technology. Through Its services, it incubates first-to-market products and helps existing companies accelerate their product development within all regulatory requirements. The company focuses on its wholly-owned subsidiary Mighty Fire Breaker LLC. Its revenues currently consist of products used for lumber products for fire prevention.

Executives

Robert L Priddy	10 percent owner	9955 AIRTRAN BLVD., *, ORLANDO FL 32827
Michael Falk	10 percent owner	830 THIRD AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Comvest Capital, Llc	10 percent owner	ONE NORTH CLEMATIS STREET, SUITE 300, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Comvest Group Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	ONE NORTH CLEMANTIS STREET, SUITE 300, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Comvest Capital Management Llc	10 percent owner	ONE NORTH CLEMATIS STREET, SUITE 300, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Cvc California Llc	10 percent owner	ONE NORTH CLEMATIS STREET, SUITE 300, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
James P Stapleton	director
Brett Maxwell Clark	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3191 TEMPLE AVE., POMONA CA 91768
John A Brunkow	director	3191 TEMPLE STE 250, POMONA, CA 91768
Cobbs Cabell F Ii	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3191 TEMPLE AVE., SUITE 250, POMONA CA 91768
Timothy J Koziol	officer: CEO	3191 TEMPLE AVE, SUITE 250, POMONA CA 91768
Rhodes Clyde E Jr	officer: Secretary	3191 TEMPLE AVE, SUITE 250, POMONA CA 91768