Fuss Brands (Fuss Brands) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is Fuss Brands Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Fuss Brands Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Fuss Brands Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fuss Brands's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Fuss Brands (Fuss Brands) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Fuss Brands Corp (OTCPK:FBDS) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

80 Broad Street, New York, NY, USA, 10004

Website

https://www.fussbrands.com

Fuss Brands Corp is a shell company.

Executives

Lei Zhao	director	LEVEL 11, CHANGLIANG INTERNATIONAL BLDG, NO. 28, CHANGLIANG RD, NANGANG DISTRICT, HEILONGJIAN PROVINCE F4 150090
Zibing Pan	director	1813 NW 176TH PL., EDMOND OK 73012
David Dong	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O FEIHE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 2275 HUNTINGTON DRIVE #278, SAN MARINO CA 91108
Xiaoying Lu	officer: Interim CFO	C/O RENHUANG PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., NO. 281, TAIPING ROAD, TAIPING DISTRICT, HARBIN,HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE F4 150050
Dianjun Pi	director	281 TAIPING ROAD, DAOWAI DISTRICT, HARBIN, HEILONGJIANG F4 150300
Changxiong Sun	director	C/O RENHUANG PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., NO. 281, TAIPING ROAD, TAIPING DISTRICT, HARBIN, HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE F4 150050
Bingchun Wu	director	C/O RENHUANG PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., NO. 281, TAIPING ROAD, TAIPING DISTRICT, HARBIN, HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE F4 150050
Sean Shao	director	21ST FLOOR, EVERBRIGHT BANK BUILDING, ZHUZILIN, FUTIAN DISTRICT, SHENZHEN, GUANGDONG F4 518040
Yan Yi Chen	officer: Chief Financial Officer	NO. 281, TAIPING ROAD, TAIPING DISTRICT, HARBIN, HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE F4 150050
Magnus Moliteus	director	958 SUNSET RIDGE, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Yanfei Kong	director, officer: CFO	65 BROADWAY, SUITE 888, NEW YORK NY 10006
Li Shaoming	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO	281 TAIPING ROAD, DAOWAI DISTRICT, HARBIN, HEILONGJIAN F4 150300
Fanrong Meng	director	201-5-602 YUNHUA SQUARE, KANGAN ROAD, HARBIN, HEILONGJIAN F4 150010
Kenneth Arevalo	director	3200 BRISTOL STREET, SUITE 700, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Sutter Holding Co Inc	10 percent owner	100 SOUTH KING STREET, SEATTLE WA 98104

Fuss Brands (Fuss Brands) Headlines

No Headlines