Faro Technologies (Faro Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is Faro Technologies Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Faro Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Faro Technologies (Faro Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Faro Technologies Inc (NAS:FARO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

FT1:Germany

Address

250 Technology Park, Lake Mary, FL, USA, 32746

Website

https://www.faro.com

Faro Technologies Inc is a global technology company. It designs, develops, manufactures, markets and supports software-driven, three-dimensional (3-D) measurement, imaging, and realization solutions for the 3D metrology, architecture, engineering and construction (AEC), Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and public safety analytics markets. The company enables its customers to capture, measure, manipulate, interact with and share 3D and 2D data from the physical world in a virtual environment and then translate the information back into the physical domain. FARO suite of 3D products and software solutions are used for the inspection of components and assemblies, rapid prototyping, reverse engineering, documenting large volumes or structures in 3D, surveying, and construction.

Executives

Alexander M Davern	director	C/O NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS, 11500 MOPAC BLDG C, AUSTIN TX 78759
Peter James Lau	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O HUBBELL INCORPORATED, 40 WATERVIEW DRIVE, SHELTON CT 06484
Rotterdam Jeroen Van	director	851 WEST CYPRESS CREEK ROAD, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Yuval Wasserman	director	1625 SHARP POINT DRIVE, FORT COLLINS CO 80525
Stephen Cole	director	125 TECHNOLOGY PARK, LAKE MARY FL 32746
John Donofrio	director	ONE VILLAGE CENTER ROAD, VAN BUREN TOWNSHIP MI 48111
Jawad A Ahsan	director	17800 N 85TH ST, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Jeffrey D Sexton	officer: Vice President of Global Sales	1519 MONTEVAL PLACE, SAN JOSE CA 95120
Rajani Ramanathan	director	C/O GUIDEWIRE SOFTWARE, INC., 2850 S DELAWARE STREET, S-400, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Moonhie Chin	director	AUTODESK, INC., 111 MCINNIS PARKWAY, SAN RAFAEL CA 94903
Kevin Beadle	officer: Senior Vice President, Sales	1601 S. MOPAC EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 100, AUSTIN TX 78746
Katrona Tyrrell	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O FARO TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 250 TECHNOLOGY PARK, LAKE MARY FL 32746
Yazid Tohme	officer: Chief R&D Officer	C/O FARO TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 250 TECHNOLOGY PARK, LAKE MARY FL 32746
Allen L. Muhich	officer: Chief Financial Officer	250 TECHNOLOGY PARK, LAKE MARY FL 32746
Michael D Burger	director, officer: President and CEO	250 TECHNOLOGY PARK, LAKE MARY FL 32746