EzFill Holdings (EzFill Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is EzFill Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

EzFill Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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EzFill Holdings (EzFill Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » EzFill Holdings Inc (NAS:EZFL) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2299 NE 191st Street, Suite 500, Aventura, FL, USA, 33180

Website

https://www.ezfl.com

EzFill Holdings Inc is an application based on-demand fuel delivery company in Florida and the mobile fueling company that combines on-demand fills and subscription services which fill customer vehicles on routine intervals. It provides fuel-delivery on-demand or in subscription to fill customer vehicles on routine intervals for the consumer, fleet, marine, and other specialty markets. EzFill's app-based platform brings the gas station to customers with a growing fleet of EzFill-branded, Mobile Fueling Trucks. The company provides gas delivery via Mobile Fueling Trucks in the greater South Florida area as well as in the West Palm Beach, Jacksonville, Tampa, and Orlando areas, and expect to soon begin fueling in other areas in Florida.

Executives

Yehuda Levy	officer: Interim CEO	2999 NE 191ST STREET, AVENTURA FL 33180
Avishai Vaknin	officer: Chief Technology Officer	2999 NE 191ST STREET, AVENTURA FL 33180
Daniel Ronald Arbour	director	435 CHEMIN DU REFUGE, LAC SUPERIEUR A8 J0T 1P0
Luis Alejandro Reyes	director	2315 TORO CANYON RD,, AUSTIN TX 78746
Michael Andrew Devoe	officer: Chief Operating Officer	526 ORCHARD DR., NORTHVILLE MI 48167
Jack Levine	director	C/O BLINK CHARGING CO., 407 LINCOLN ROAD, SUITE 704, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Arthur Levine	officer: CFO	19950 WEST COUNTRY CLUB DRIVE, SUITE 800, AVENTURA FL 33180
Michael D Farkas	10 percent owner
Allen R Weiss	director	C/O DICK'S SPORTING GOODS, INC., 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Cheryl Edith Hanrehan	director, officer: COO	2125 BISCAYNE BLVD,, STE. 309, MIAMI FL 33137
Michael Joel Mcconnell	director, officer: CEO	2125 BISCAYNE BLVD,, STE. 309, MIAMI FL 33137
Richard G. Dery	director, officer: Chief Commercial Officer	2125 BISCAYNE BLVD,, SUITE 309, MIAMI FL 33137
Jacob Sod	10 percent owner	14 WALL STREET, SUITE 2064, NEW YORK NY 10005
Mark Toby Lev	director	70 WILLISTON RD, BROOKLINE MA 02445