Eyenovia (Eyenovia) Predictability Rank

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What is Eyenovia Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Eyenovia Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Eyenovia (Eyenovia) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Eyenovia Inc (NAS:EYEN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

295 Madison Avenue, Suite 2400, New York, NY, USA, 10017

Website

https://www.eyenovia.com

Eyenovia Inc is a clinical stage ophthalmic company developing a pipeline of therapeutics based on its propriety array print (MAP) platform technology. It aims to achieve clinical microdosing of next-generation formulations of novel and existing ophthalmic pharmaceutical agents using its high-precision targeted ocular delivery system, branded the Opejet, which has the potential to replace conventional eye dropper delivery and improve safety, tolerability, patient compliance and topical delivery success for ophthalmic eye treatments. Using its proprietary delivery technology, Eyenovia is developing the next generation of smart ophthalmic therapies which target new indications or new combinations.

Executives

Michael M Rowe	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O EYENOVIA, INC., 501 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1404, NEW YORK NY 10017
Ellen R Strahlman	director	ALTRIA GROUP, INC., 6601 W. BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230
Stuart M. Grant	10 percent owner	11 SUMMIT LANE, GREENVILLE DE 19807
Ram Palanki	director	C/O EYENOVIA, INC, 295 MADISON AVENUE SUITE 2400, NEW YORK NY 10017
Rachel Jacobson	director	C/O EYENOVIA INC, 295 MADISON AVENUE SUITE 2400, NEW YORK NY 10017
John P Gandolfo	officer: Chief Financial Officer	62 TERRACE ROAD, WAYNE NJ 07470
Bren Kern	officer: Chief Operating Officer	295 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 2400, C/O EYENOVIA, INC., NEW YORK NY 10017
Mather Charles E Iv	director	C/O TONIX PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDING CORP, 509 MADISON AVE., SUITE 306, NEW YORK NY 10022
Tsontcho Ianchulev	director	501 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1404, NEW YORK NY 10017
Stephen Keith Benjamin	director	135 NORTH CHURCH STREET, SPARTANBURG SC 29306
Julia A Haller	director	C/O CELGENE CORPORATION, 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Lee Kenneth B Jr	director	7100 WEST CREDIT AVENUE, SUITE 101, C/O ARALEZ PHARMACEUTICALS INC., MISSISSAUGA A6 L5N 0E4
Curt H Labelle	director	C/O INVESTOR GROWTH CAPITAL, INC., 630 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1965, NEW YORK NY 10011
Anthony Y Sun	director	C/O AISLING CAPITAL, 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10106
Fredric N Eshelman	director	PPD INC, 929 NORTH FRONT STREET, WILMINGTON NC 28401