EVgo (EVGO) Predictability Rank

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What is EVgo Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

EVgo Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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EVgo (EVGO) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » EVgo Inc (NAS:EVGO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

EVGOW:USA

Address

11835 West Olympic Boulevard, Suite 900E, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90064

Website

https://www.evgo.com

EVgo owns and operates a public direct current fast-charging network in the U.S. Its network of charging stations provides electric vehicle charging infrastructure to consumers and businesses. Its network is capable of charging all EV models and charging standards currently available in the U.S. EVgo partners with national and regional chains of grocery stores, automotive original equipment manufacturers, hotels, shopping centers, gas stations, parking lot operators, local governments and independent property owners in order to locate and deploy its EV charging infrastructure.

Executives

Dennis G Kish	officer: Chief Operating Officer	955 EAST ARQUES AVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
Francine Sullivan	officer: CLO and General Counsel	11835 WEST OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Olga Shevorenkova	officer: Chief Financial Officer	11835 WEST OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Stephanie Lee	officer: Interim CFO	11835 W. OLYMPIC BLVD. SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Ivo Steklac	officer: Chief Operating & Tech Officer	11835 WEST OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Cathy Zoi	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	11835 WEST OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
David Nanus	director	1700 BROADWAY, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Paul Segal	director	1700 BROADWAY, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jonathan Seelig	director	C/O ZOOM TELEPHONICS, INC., 99 HIGH STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Peter Eric Anderson	director	11835 W. OLYMPIC BLVD. SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Tanvi Chaturvedi	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	11835 W. OLYMPIC BLVD. SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Jonathan Maier Levy	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	11835 WEST OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Caroline Ogata	officer: Controller	11835 WEST OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 900E, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Badar Khan	director	69 DENNY ROAD, CHESTNUT HILL MA 02467
Katherine Motlagh	director	C/O CYRUSONE, 2850 N HARWOOD ST STE 2200, DALLAS TX 75201