What is Eos Energy Enterprises Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Eos Energy Enterprises Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Eos Energy Enterprises (Eos Energy Enterprises) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3920 Park Avenue, Edison, NJ, USA, 08820
Eos Energy Enterprises Inc designs develop, manufactures, and markets innovative zinc-based energy storage solutions for utility-scale, microgrid, and commercial & industrial (C&I) applications. The solutions are used in the utility sector, the renewable energy sector, and the industrial sector. It's flagship product Eos Znyth is a stationary battery energy storage system.
Executives
| Jeff Mcneil |
director |
47281 BAYSIDE PARKWAY, FREMONT CA 94538 |
| Joe Mastrangelo |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
199 PIERCE STREET, SUITE 537, FRANKLIN TOWNSHIP NJ 08873 |
| Claude Demby |
director |
C/O SMART MODULAR TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560 |
| Sumeet Puri |
officer: Chief Accounting Officer |
6525 SHADY OAK LANE, MASON OH 45040 |
| Alexander Dimitrief |
director |
GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY, 41 FARNSWORTH STREET, BOSTON MA 02210 |
| Nathan Kroeker |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
12160 WICKCHESTER LN, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77079 |
| Jeffrey S Bornstein |
director |
GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY, 41 FARNSWORTH STREET, BOSTON MA 02210 |
| Russell Monoki Stidolph |
director |
137 ROWAYTON AVENUE, ROWAYTON CT 06853 |
| Daniel Shribman |
director, officer: CEO and CFO |
299 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10171 |
| Koch Industries Inc |
10 percent owner |
4111 EAST 37TH STREET NORTH, WICHITA KS 67220 |
| Randall B Gonzales |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
EOS ENERGY ENTERPRISES, INC., 3920 PARK AVENUE, EDISON NJ 08820 |
| Spring Creek Capital Llc |
10 percent owner |
4111 EAST 37TH STREET NORTH, WICHITA KS 67220 |
| Wood River Capital, Llc |
10 percent owner |
4111 E. 37TH STREET N, WICHITA KS 67220 |
| Marian Walters |
director |
C/O B. RILEY FINANCIAL, INC., 21255 BURBANK BLVD., SUITE 400, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367 |
| Audrey Ann Zibelman |
director |
6/128 TOORAK ROAD WEST, SOUTH YARRA C4 3141 |
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