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enGene Holdings (enGene Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is enGene Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

enGene Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

enGene Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of enGene Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

enGene Holdings (enGene Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » enGene Holdings Inc (NAS:ENGN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7171 Rue Frederick Banting, Saint-Laurent, QC, CAN, H4S 1Z9
Website
enGene Holdings Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing gene therapies to improve the lives of patients. The Company is developing non-viral gene therapies based on its novel and proprietary dually derived chitosan, or DDX, gene delivery platform, which allows localized delivery of multiple gene cargos directly to mucosal tissues and other organs.
Executives
Richard M Glickman director C/O ASPREVA PHARMACEUTICALS CORPORATION, 1203-4464 MARKHAM STREET, VICTORIA A1 V8Z7X8
Jason David Hanson director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 8125 NORTH HAYDEN ROAD, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85258-2463
Lumira Capital Investment Management Inc. 10 percent owner 141 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 770, TORONTO A6 M5H 3L5
Richard Paul Bryce officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O PUMA BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 10880 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2150, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Fonds De Solidarite Des Travailleurs Du Quebec 10 percent owner 545 CREMAZIE BLVD. EAST, SUITE 200, MONTREAL A8 H2M 2W4
Gerald A Brunk director C/O MDS CAPITAL, 245 FIRST ST., STE 1800, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jasper Bos director BOUNDARY HALL, PO BOX 1093, CRICKET SQUARE, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Grassin Alexandre Jean-rene Erwan officer: Int. Chief Financial Officer 7171 RUE FREDERICK BANTING, SAINT-LAURENT A8 H4S 1Z9
Anthony Tzeyew Cheung officer: Chief Technology Officer 7171 RUE FREDERICK BANTING, SAINT-LAURENT A8 H4S 1Z9
Alexander Julian Nichols officer: Pres. & Chief Operating Ofc. 7171 RUE FREDERICK BANTING, SAINT-LAURENT A8 H4S 1Z9
James Crowley Sullivan officer: Chief Scientific Officer 7171 RUE FREDERICK BANTING, SAINT-LAURENT A8 H4S 1Z9
Forbion Growth Sponsor Feac I B.v. 10 percent owner GOOIMEER 2 35,, NAARDEN P7 1411DC
Forbion Growth Opportunities Fund I Cooperatief U.a. 10 percent owner GOOIMEER 235, 1411 DC, NAARDEN P7 00000
Forbion Growth Management B.v. 10 percent owner C/O FORBION EUROPEAN ACQUISITION CORP., 4001 KENNETT PIKE, SUITE 302, WILMINGTON DE 19807

enGene Holdings (enGene Holdings) Headlines

From GuruFocus

enGene Announces Expanded $50 Million Debt Facility with Hercules Capital

By PRNewswire • 12-22-2023

enGene Appoints Lota S. Zoth, CPA, as Member of the Board of Directors

By PRNewswire • 12-19-2023

enGene Appoints Ryan Daws as Chief Financial Officer

By PRNewswire • 11-29-2023