Elys Bmg Group (Elys Bmg Group) Predictability Rank

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What is Elys Bmg Group Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Elys Bmg Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Elys Bmg Group (Elys Bmg Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Elys Bmg Group Inc (OTCPK:ELYS) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

130 Adelaide Street, West, Suite 701, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5H 2K4

Website

https://www.elysgame.com

Elys Game Technology Corp is a fastest growing and technologically advanced Sports Betting and virtual sports betting products provider in the regulated business to business and business to consumer markets. It focuses on driving results for casino and leisure gaming operators with retail and digital solutions for Europe, North America and around the globe. The group operates into two segments namely Betting establishments and Betting platform software and services. Majority of revenue is generated from Betting establishments segment.

Executives

Michael Ciavarella	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O NEWGIOCO GROUP, INC., 130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Gold Street Capital Corp.	10 percent owner	10550 W. STATE RD. 84, UNIT 12, DAVIE FL 33324
Carlo Reali	officer: Interim CFO	130 ADELAIDE STREET W, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Victor J Salerno	director	C/O AMERICAN WAGERING INC, 675 GRIER DR, LAS VEGAS NV 89119
Luca Pasquini	director, officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O ELYS GAME TECHNOLOGY, CORP., 130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Andrea Mandel-mantello	director	C/O ELYS GAME TECHNOLOGY CORP., 130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Philippe Blanc	director	130 ADELAIDE STREET, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Matteo Monteverdi	officer: President	130 ADELAIDE STREET, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Cooper Richard Quentin Mortimer	director	130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Mark John Korb	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1900 GLADES ROAD, SUITE 435, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Clive Kabatznik	director
Steven A Shallcross	director	C/O ELYS GAME TECHNOLOGY CORP., 130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Paul Sallwasser	director	C/O ELYS GAME TECHNOLOGY CORP., 130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Elizabeth Jean Maclean	officer: Chief Financial Officer	130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H 2K4
Franco Salvagni	officer: VP Land Based Operations	C/O NEWGIOCO GROUP, INC., 130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4