DriveItAway Holdings (DriveItAway Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is DriveItAway Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

DriveItAway Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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DriveItAway Holdings (DriveItAway Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » DriveItAway Holdings Inc (OTCPK:DWAY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3201 Market Street, Suite 200/201, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 10104

Website

https://www.driveitaway.com

DriveItAway Holdings Inc provides dealer focused mobility platform that enables car dealers to sell more vehicles in a seamless way through eCommerce, with its Pay as You Go app-based subscription program. DIA provides a comprehensive turn-key, solutions-driven program with proprietary mobile technology and driver app, insurance coverages, and training to get dealerships up and running quickly and profitably in emerging online sales opportunities.

Executives

Paul Patrizio	director, 10 percent owner	90 WASHINGTON VALLEY ROAD, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
John Francis Possumato	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	116 THIRD AVENUE, HADDON HEIGHTS NJ 08035
Adam Joseph Potash	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Operating Officer	259-10, HILLSIDE AVENUE, APT. 6H, FLORAL PARK NY 11004
Aep Holdings Llc	10 percent owner	1 WHITE BUCK RUN, WARREN NJ 07059
Minds' Eye Innovations, Inc.	10 percent owner	259-10 HILLSIDE AVENUE, APT. 6H, FLORAL PARK NY 11004
Driveltaway Llc	10 percent owner	116 THIRD AVENUE, HADDON HEIGHTS NJ 08035
Zell Richard Gery Ii	director	8 GEARYS RIDGE RD, RINGOES NJ 08551
Christopher Rego	director	212 BELLEROSE DR., SAN JOSE CA 95128
Franventures, Llc	10 percent owner	796 CYPRESS CROSSING TRAIL, ST. AUGUSTINE FL 32095
Blake Furlow	director, 10 percent owner	2110 N WESTGATE, BOISE ID 83704
Bart Jay Mitchell	director	7853 N HILLIARD CT, COEUR D' ALENE ID 83815
Gary L Herman	director	720 FIFTH AVE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Karla Kretsch	officer: Chief Operating Officer	701 MARKET STREET, SUITE 113, ST. AUGUSTINE FL 32095
Christian Miller	officer: Chief Financial Officer	701 MARKET STREET, SUITE 113, ST. AUGUSTINE FL 32095
Joyann Kenny-charlton	director	194 TWINING BRIDGE ROAD, NEWTOWN PA 18940

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