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DoubleLineome Solutions Fund (DoubleLineome Solutions Fund) Predictability Rank


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What is DoubleLineome Solutions Fund Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

DoubleLineome Solutions Fund Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

DoubleLineome Solutions Fund Predictability Rank Related Terms

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DoubleLineome Solutions Fund (DoubleLineome Solutions Fund) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » DoubleLine Income Solutions Fund (NYSE:DSL) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
BSTZ ETG PX KYN BDVC JFR BST HYT STEW PDO BLK BX OSTO:INVE A TSX:BN KKR APO BK AMP XSWX:PGHN LSE:III
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2002 North Tampa Street, Suite 200, Tampa, FL, USA, 33602
Website
https://www.doublelinefunds.com
DoubleLine Income Solutions Fund is a closed-end fund. The fund's primary investment objective is to seek high income and its secondary objective is to seek capital appreciation. It invests in securities, including money market funds, foreign corporate bonds, us corporate bonds, bank loans, collateralized loan obligations, and municipal bonds. The portfolio of the fund consists of various industries such as Healthcare, Technology, Construction, Automotive, Insurance, Beverage, Pharmaceuticals, Leisure, and others.
Executives
Lisa Chen officer: AML Compliance Officer C/O DOUBLELINE FUNDS, 2002 NORTH TAMPA STREET, SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33602
John C. Salter other: Trustee C/O DOUBLELINE CAPITAL LP, 2002 NORTH TAMPA STREET, SUITE 200, TAMPA FL 33602
Jose Sarmenta officer: AML Officer C/O DOUBLELINE CAPITAL LP, 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Joan Elam officer: Dir of HR for DSL's Inv Adv C/O DOUBLELINE CAPITAL, 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Robert Herron officer: Vice President C/O DOUBLELINE CAPITAL LP, 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Henry V Chase other: See Remarks C/O DOUBLELINE CAPITAL LP, 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Maria Theresa Walker officer: Vice President 333 SOUTH GRAND AVE 18 FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Dawn Oswald officer: Vice President C/O DOUBLELINE CAPITAL LP, 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Youse Guia officer: CHIEF COMPLIANCE OFFICER C/O PIMCO, 650 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Leticia A. Acosta other: Adviser 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1800, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Adam D. Rossetti officer: CHIEF COMPLIANCE OFFICER 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1800, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Winnie Han officer: Assistant Treasurer 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1800, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Brady J. Femling officer: Vice President 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 1800, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
James Charles Davison other: Global Relationship Management 333 SOUTH GRAND AVE, 18TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Raymond Woolson other: TRUSTEE 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071