Definitive Healthcare (Definitive Healthcare) Predictability Rank

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What is Definitive Healthcare Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Definitive Healthcare Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Definitive Healthcare (Definitive Healthcare) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Definitive Healthcare Corp (NAS:DH) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

492 Old Connecticut Path, Suite 401, Framingham, MA, USA, 01701

Website

https://www.definitivehc.com

Definitive Healthcare Corp is a leading provider of healthcare commercial intelligence. The company's solutions provide accurate and comprehensive information on healthcare providers and their activities to help customers optimize everything from product development to go-to-market planning and sales and marketing execution. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.

Executives

Carrie Lazorchak	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O DEFINITIVE HEALTHCARE CORP., 492 OLD CONNECTICUT PATH, SUITE 401, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Scott G Stephenson	director	C/O VERISK ANALYTICS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310-1686
Sea Vii Management, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	ONE INTERNATIONAL PLACE, SUITE 3520, BOSTON MA 02110
Advent International Gp, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	800 BOYLSTON STREET SUITE 3300, BOSTON MA 02199
Spectrum Vii Investment Managers' Fund, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	ONE INTERNATIONAL PLACE, 35TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jason Ronald Krantz	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O DEFINITIVE HEALTHCARE, LLC, 550 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Jonathan Maack	officer: President	C/O DEFINITIVE HEALTHCARE CORP., 550 COCHITUATE RD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Sastry Chilukuri	director	5 BUDDY LANE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
David Randall Winn	director	7900 GLADES ROAD, SUITE 540, BOCA RATON FL 33434
Jeffrey Charles Haywood	director, 10 percent owner	C/O DEFINITIVE HEALTHCARE, LLC, 550 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Richard Douglas Booth	officer: Chief Financial Officer	200 CLARENDON STREET, T-9, BOSTON MA 02116
Kathleen A Winters	director	101 COLUMBIA ROAD, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Spectrum Vii Co-investment Fund, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	ONE INTERNATIONAL PLACE, SUITE 3520, BOSTON MA 02110
Advent Global Technology-c Limited Partnership	director, 10 percent owner	PRUDENTIAL TOWER, 800 BOYLSTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02199-8069
Advent Global Technology-d Limited Partnership	director, 10 percent owner	PRUDENTIAL TOWER, 800 BOYLSTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02199-8069