Cyxtera Technologies (Cyxtera Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is Cyxtera Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Cyxtera Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Cyxtera Technologies (Cyxtera Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Cyxtera Technologies Inc (OTCPK:CYXTQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2333 Ponce De Leon Boulevard, Suite 900, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134

Website

https://www.cyxtera.com

Cyxtera Technologies Inc is engaged in data center colocation and interconnection services. The company operates a footprint of more than 60 data centers around the world, providing services to more than 2,300 leading enterprises and U.S. federal government agencies. Cyxtera brings proven operational excellence, global scale, flexibility and customer-focused innovation together to provide a comprehensive portfolio of data center and interconnection services.

Executives

Jeffrey C Smith	director, 10 percent owner	201 E LAS OLAS BOULEVARD, SUITE 1000, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Starboard Value Lp	director, 10 percent owner	777 THIRD AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Starboard Value & Opportunity Master Fund L Lp	director, 10 percent owner	777 THIRD AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Scott D. Vogel	director	885 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10075
Frederick Arnold	director	CHATSWORTH ADVISORS, INC., 3 YORK ROAD, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Roger Meltzer	director	80 PINE STREET, C/O CAHILL GORDON& REINDELL LLP, NEW YORK NY 10005
Benjamin Phillips	director	2 ALHAMBRA PLAZA, SUITE PH-1-B, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
James Randolph Rowland	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O CYXTERA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 2333 PONCE DE LEON, SUITE 900, CORAL CABLES FL 33134
Victor Semah	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O CYXTERA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 2333 PONCE DE LEON, SUITE 900, CORAL CABLES FL 33134
Carlos Ignacio Sagasta	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O CYXTERA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 2333 PONCE DE LEON, SUITE 900, CORAL CABLES FL 33134
Fonseca Nelson A. Jr	director, officer: See Remarks	ONE BISCAYNE TOWER, 2 S. BISCAYNE BLVD, SUITE 2800, MIAMI FL 33131
Edmundo Miranda	officer: See Remarks	C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Bcec-sis Holdings L.p.	10 percent owner	ARNOLD HOUSE PO BOX 273, ST JULIAN'S AVENUE, ST PETER PORT Y7 GY1 3RD
Gregory L Waters	director	ONSEMI C/O H. SPENCER, 5701 NORTH PIMA ROAD, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85250
Starboard Value L Lp	director, 10 percent owner	777 THIRD AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017