GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Cell MedX Corp (OTCPK:CMXC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Cell MedX (Cell MedX) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is Cell MedX Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Cell MedX Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Cell MedX Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cell MedX's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Cell MedX (Cell MedX) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Cell MedX Corp (OTCPK:CMXC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
MHTX NXL DYNT TIVC SINT HSCS BIOL VTAK BBLG ESMC ABT SYK MDT BSX SZSE:300760 EW DXCM ZBH STE XAMS:PHIA
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
123 W. Nye Lane, Suite 446, Carson City, NV, USA, 89706
Website
https://www.cellmedx.com
Cell MedX Corp is an early stage development company focused on the discovery, development and, commercialization of therapeutic products for patients with diseases such as diabetes, by developing technologies to help manage the illness and related complications. The company's product portfolio consists of electromedical technologies, ebalance, and others.
Executives
Richard Jeffs 10 percent owner FLAT 7, 6 ENNISMORE GARDENS, LONDON X0 SW7 1NL
Dwayne Yaretz director, officer: Chief Executive Officer SUITE 1050 WEST PENDER STREET SUITE 2250, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3S7
Bradley S Hargreaves 10 percent owner 904-1616 BAYSHORE DR, VANCOUVER A1 V6G3L1
Frank Mcenulty director, officer: CEO, CFO, Treas., Sec 4182 N. VIKING WAY, SUITE 216, LONG BEACH CA 90808-1475
Joao Dacosta director, officer: COO #810 - 789 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1H2
George Adams director 7535 CONSERVATION ROAD, GUELPH A6 N1H6J1
Terrance George Owen director, officer: CEO 635 FOURTH LINE (UNIT 1), OAKVILLE A6 L6L 5BO
John David Sanderson officer: Chief Medical Officer 9 ISLANDVIEW, IRVINE CA 92604
Yanika S Silina officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary 789 WEST PENDER STREET, UNIT 810, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1H2
Jean M Arnett 10 percent owner 121 - 3989 HENNING DRIVE, BURNABY A1 V5C 6P8
Ean Kremer director, officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O PLANDEL RESOURCES, INC., 4575 DEAN MARTIN DRIVE, STE. 2206, LAS VEGAS NV 89103

Cell MedX (Cell MedX) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Cell MedX Insider Buys 22,500 Shares

By Kyle Ferguson Kyle Ferguson • 11-11-2016