Cambium Networks (Cambium Networks) Predictability Rank

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What is Cambium Networks Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Cambium Networks Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Cambium Networks (Cambium Networks) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Cambium Networks Corp (NAS:CMBM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

089:Germany

Address

C/o Cambium Networks, Inc, 3800 Golf Road, Suite 360, Rolling Meadows, IL, USA, 60008

Website

https://www.cambiumnetworks.com

Cambium Networks Corp provides wireless broadband networking infrastructure solutions for network operators, including medium-sized wireless Internet service providers, enterprises, and government agencies. The company's scalable, reliable and high-performance solutions create a purpose-built wireless fabric which connects people, places and things across distances ranging from two meters to more than 100 kilometers, indoors and outdoors, using licensed and unlicensed spectrum, at attractive economics. Headquartered outside Chicago and with R&D centers in the U.S., U.K. and India, the company sells through a range of distributors overseas.

Executives

Vikram Verma	director	810 WEST MAUDE AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94085
Kevin J Lynch	director	201 POST STREET, SUITE 1000, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Archana Nirwan	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	5470 CAMINITO EXQUISITO, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
John Monroy Becerril	officer: Controller & Chief Acct Off'r	C/O CAMBIUM NETWORKS, INC., 3800 GOLF ROAD, SUITE 360, ROLLING MEADOWS IL 60008
Andrew P Bronstein	officer: CFO	10877 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 18TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Felt Bruce C. Jr.	director	C/O SUCCESSFACTORS, INC., 1500 FASHION ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Neal M Kurk	other: Relative of CEO/Director	RR 1, WEARE NH 03281
Kurk Morgan C S	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O COMMSCOPE HOLDING COMPANY, INC., 1100 COMMSCOPE PLACE, SE, HICKORY NC 28602
Sally Rau	officer: General Counsel	PO BOX 59366, SCHAUMBURG IL 60159
Vibhu Vivek	officer: Senior VP, Products	136 MILL CREEK ROAD, FREMONT CA 94539
Ronald G Ryan	officer: Senior VP, Gbl Channel Mgmt	3355 RYAN TRAIL, MCKINNEY TX 75071
Scott Imhoff	officer: Senior VP, Product Mgmt	653 BENT RIDGE LANE, BARRINGTON IL 60010
Graaf Raymond De	officer: Senior VP, Operations	C/O IXIA, 26601 WEST AGOURA ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91302
Alexander R Slusky	director, 10 percent owner	456 MONTGOMERY STREET, 19TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Robert S Amen	director, 10 percent owner	C/O CAMBIUM NETWORKS CORPORATION, 38 GOLF ROAD, SUITE 360, ROLLING MEADOWS IL 60008