byNordic Acquisition (byNordic Acquisition) Predictability Rank

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What is byNordic Acquisition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

byNordic Acquisition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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byNordic Acquisition (byNordic Acquisition) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » byNordic Acquisition Corp (NAS:BYNO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

c/o Pir 29, Einar Hansens Esplanad 29, Malmo, SWE, 211 13

Website

byNordic Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.

Executives

Mizuho Securities Usa Llc	10 percent owner	1271 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, FLOORS - 2,3,4,18,19, NEW YORK NY 10020
Mizuho Americas Llc	10 percent owner	1271 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Thomas L Fairfield	officer: CFO, COO and Secretary	C/O WMIH CORP., 800 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 4222, SEATTLE WA 98104
Steven M Wasserman	director	328 WEST 77TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10024
Mats Karlsson	officer: Director of Acquisition	EINAR HANSENS ESPLANAD 29, MALAMO V7 21113
Michael Hermansson	officer: Chief Executive Officer	EINAR HANSENS ESPLANAD 29, MALAMO V7 21113
Anna Yukiko Bickenbach	director	EINAR HANSENS ESPLANAD 29, MALAMO V7 21113
Christian Merheim	officer: Director of Technology	EINAR HANSENS ESPLANAD 29, MALMO V7 21113
Water By Nordic Ab	10 percent owner	EINAR HANSENS ESPLANAD 29, MALMO V7 21113
Jonas Olsson	director, officer: Chairman of the Board	EINAR HANSENS ESPLANAD 29, MALMO V7 21113
Anders Norlin	director	EINAR HANSENS ESPLANAD 29, MALMO V7 21113
Alexander Bigge Lidgren	officer: Director of Marketing	EINAR HANSENS ESPLANAD 29, MALMO V7 21113
Elmberg Fredrik Jan Thure	director	REINBEKER WEG 51, D-21029, HAMBURG 2M 00000