What is Bitech Technologies Predictability Rank?
1 (5)
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Bitech Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Bitech Technologies (Bitech Technologies) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
895 Dove Street, Suite 300, Newport Beach, CA, USA, 92660
Bitech Technologies Corp is a technology solution provider dedicated to providing a suite of green energy solutions with a focus on cryptocurrency mining, data centers, commercial and residential utility, electric vehicle, and other renewable energy initiatives.
Executives
| Gregory Daniel Trimarche |
director |
535 ANTON BLVD,, SUITE 1000, COSTA MESA CA 92626 |
| Benjamin B Tran |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
49 MONTEREY PINE DR., NEWPORT COAST CA 92657 |
| Michael Hanh Cao |
director, 10 percent owner |
7208 WEST SAND LAKE RD,, SUITE 305, ORLANDO FL 32819 |
| Calvin Cao |
10 percent owner |
2203 N LOIS AVENUE 9TH FL, TAMPA FL 33607 |
| Robert J Brilon |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
1201 S. ALMA SCHOOL ROAD, SUITE 8500, MESA AZ 85210 |
| William Donovan |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO |
903 CREEKWOOD WAY, HOUSTON TX 77024 |
| Jeffrey A Cronk |
director |
5225 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77007 |
| Lpd Investments, Ltd |
10 percent owner |
25025 I45 NORTH, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380 |
| Peter L Dalrymple |
director, 10 percent owner |
13451 BELHAVEN DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77069 |
| John R Bergeron |
director |
7411 SONGWIND, SPING TX 77379 |
| William A Lawrence |
director |
6 RILLWOOD PLACE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77382 |
| Eric K Groteke |
officer: CTO |
2495 ENTERPRISE ROAD, SUITE 104, CLEARWATER FL 33763 |
| Jerry W. Bratton |
director |
P.O. BOX 541716, DALLAS TX 75354 |
| Franklin Arthur Rose |
director |
1121-16 UPTOWN PARK BLVD, HOUSTON TX 77056 |
| John A. Talamas |
other: Former COO |
54 HILLOCK WOODS DRIVE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380 |
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