BIMI International Medical (BIMI International Medical) Predictability Rank

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What is BIMI International Medical Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

BIMI International Medical Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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BIMI International Medical (BIMI International Medical) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » BIMI International Medical Inc (NAS:BIMI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Chongqing Corporation Avenue, 9th Floor, Building 2, Yuzhong District, Chongqing, CHN, 400010

Website

https://www.usbimi.com

BIMI International Medical Inc is a healthcare product and provider, offering a broad range of healthcare products and related services and operates private hospitals in China. The company is engaged in four business segments, Pharmaceuticals wholesale, Medical devices wholesale, Medical services, and Pharmacy retail. It generates maximum revenue from the pharmaceuticals wholesale segment. It mainly sources its products from large state-owned pharmaceutical manufacturers and wholesalers and mid-sized or small private pharmaceutical manufacturers and wholesalers. The Company's revenues were generated in the PRC.

Executives

Ang Sammi Ean Seok	director	2658 VISTA MONTE CIRCLE, CHINO HILLS CA 91709
Fnu Oudom	director	7700 IRVINE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 800, IRVINE CA 92618
Xiaoping Wang	director	ROOM 4-6,NO.88-4 HUAYAN FIRST VILLAGE, SHAPINGBA DISTRICT, CHONGQING F4 400037
Baiqun Zhong	officer: CFO	1-7, NO.27, HUAYAN NEW VILLAGE, JIULONGPO DISTRICT, CHONGQING F4 400039
Zhang Tingting	director, officer: Chief Financial Officer	3708, FULI CENTER, NO.6 GANGXING ROOD, ZHANGSHANG DISTRICT, DALIAN, LIAONING F4 116001
Song Tiewei	director	17 FLOOR, FULI CENTER NO.6,GANGXING ROOD, ZHANGSHANG DISTRICT, DALIAN, LIAONING F4 116001
Yongquan Bi	10 percent owner	ROOM 3708, WANDA PLACE, 6 GANGWAN ROAD, ZHONGSHAN DISTRICT, DALIAN CITY, LIAONING PROVINCE F4 116001
Wang Lihua	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Financial Officer	NO 4 4 12 58 BAJING ROAD, HEPING DISTRICT SHENYANG CITY, LIAONING PROVINCW F4 110003
Li Gang	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO	19B3 62 WEST HINHE ROAD, SHENHE DISTRICT SHENYANG CITY, LIAONING PROVINCE F4 110000
Jiuding Yan	director	C/O NF ENERGY SAVING CORPORATION, 21 - JIA BEI SI DONG ROAD, SHENYANG F4 110021
Lesley Jin	director	C/O NF ENERGY SAVING CORPORATION, 21 - JIA BEI SI DONG ROAD, SHENYANG F4 110021
Maclean John Coleman	director	112 E 4TH AVE, SUITE 206, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Zhongmin Wang	director	C/O NF ENERGY SAVING CORPORATION, 21 - JIA BEI SI DONG ROAD, SHENYANG F4 110021
Jianxin Wang	director	C/O NF ENERGY SAVING CORPORATION, 21 - JIA BEI SI DONG ROAD, TIE XI QU, SHENYANG F4 110021
Mia Kuang Ching	director	C/O NF ENERGY SAVING CORPORATION, 21 - JIA BEI SI DONG ROAD, TIE XI QU, SHENYANG F4 110021