bioAffinity Technologies (bioAffinity Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is bioAffinity Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

bioAffinity Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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bioAffinity Technologies (bioAffinity Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Diagnostics & Research » bioAffinity Technologies Inc (NAS:BIAF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

22211 W Interstate 10, Suite 1206, San Antonio, TX, USA, 78257

Website

https://www.bioaffinitytech.com

bioAffinity Technologies Inc addresses the need for noninvasive diagnosis of early-stage cancer and diseases of the lung and targeted cancer treatment. It develops proprietary noninvasive diagnostic tests and cancer therapeutics using technology that preferentially targets cancer cells and cell populations indicative of a diseased state. The company is involved in developing technologies that, in the future, will be able to detect and monitor diseases of the lung and other cancers and treat many cancers.

Executives

Roby Joyce	director	22211 W INTERSTATE 10, SUITE 1206, SAN ANTONIO TX 78257
Xavier Trinidad Reveles	officer: Chief Operating Officer	22211 W INTERSTATE 10, SUITE 1206, SAN ANTONIO TX 78257
Michael Philip Dougherty	officer: Chief Financial Officer	2934 SCATTERED OAKS ST, SAN ANTONIO TX 78232
James Michael Edwards	officer: Chief Financial Officer	30907 KEENELAND DRIVE, FAIR OAKS RANCH TX 78015
Peter S Knight	director	6702 STEIN CIRCLE, #642, P.O. BOX 4138, PARK CITY UT 84060
Steven Girgenti	director, officer: Executive Chairman	C/O HEALTHWORLD CORP, 100 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10013
Robert A. Anderson	director	70 DOPPLER, IRVINE CA 92618
Gary D Rubin	director, 10 percent owner	2080 NW BOCA RATON BLVD, STE 2, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Stuart Diamond	director	498 SEVENTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10018
Maria Zannes	director, officer: President, CEO	19702 BELLA LOMA, #6005, SAN ANTONIO TX 78256
Harvey Sandler Revocable Trust	10 percent owner	21170 N. E. 22ND COURT, NORTH MIAMI BEACH FL 33180
Mohsin Y Meghji	director	C/O LOUGHLIN MEGHJI + COMPANY, NEW YORK NY 10016
Vivienne I Rebel	officer: EVP, Chief Sci. & Med. Officer	8922 APACHE TRAIL, SAN ANTONIO TX 78255
Timothy P Zannes	officer: Secretary, EVP, Gen. Counsel	1510 VISTA LARGA CT. NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87106
Nathan M Perlmutter	10 percent owner	28 PARRISH POND LANE, SOUTHAMPTON NY 11968