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BioNexus Gene Lab (BioNexus Gene Lab) Predictability Rank


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What is BioNexus Gene Lab Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

BioNexus Gene Lab Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

BioNexus Gene Lab Predictability Rank Related Terms

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BioNexus Gene Lab (BioNexus Gene Lab) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » BioNexus Gene Lab Corp (NAS:BGLC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
NMGX CNEY CBNT HYDI COWI AMRSQ SNES CRKN ETCK PVNNF LIN XPAR:AI APD SHW ECL SHSE:600309 XSWX:SIKA BOM:500820 DD XSWX:GIVN
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 8 Jalan Kerinchi, The Vertical Business Suite II, Unit 02, Level 10, Tower B, Avenue 3, Bangar South, Kuala Lumpur, SGR, MYS, 59200
Website
https://www.bionexusgenelab.com
BioNexus Gene Lab Corp is an emerging molecular diagnostics company focused on the application of functional genomics to enable early diagnosis and personalized health management. It focuses on developing and marketing safe, effective, and non-invasive blood tests for the early detection of diseases. The company's non-invasive blood tests analyze changes in ribonucleic acid (or RNA) to detect the potentiality of 11 different diseases. These diseases include eight cancers (nasopharyngeal, lung, liver, stomach, breast, cervical, prostate, and colon), two bowel diseases (colitis and Crohn), and osteoarthritis.
Executives
Chak Hua Yew director 1 COMMONWEALTH LANE #08-22, SINGAPORE U0 149544
Yeat Min Fong director 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Teng Fook Fong director 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Chee Keong Yap director 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Boon Teong Teoh director 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Yee Meng Wong director, officer: President 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Wei Li Leong officer: Chief Financial Officer 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Chai Ping Lin director 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Tai Tan Liong director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Sook Keng Yeoh director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 10-2 TOWER B, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, 8 JALAN KERINCHI, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200