Avid Technology (Avid Technology) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 1993. Start your Free Trial

What is Avid Technology Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Avid Technology Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Avid Technology Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avid Technology's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Avid Technology (Avid Technology) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Avid Technology Inc (NAS:AVID) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

75 Blue Sky Drive, Burlington, MA, USA, 01803

Website

https://www.avid.com

Avid Technology Inc develops and sells software and hardware for digital media production and management. Its products are used in production, film studios, cable television stations, recording studios, and other agencies. The company has operations in the U.S.; the Americas; Europe, Middle East, and Africa; and Asia-Pacific. Most of its revenue is split fairly evenly between the U.S. and EMEA. The company's products are organized into suites, including Artist Suite, which includes video editing and digital audio workstations; Media Suite, which provides newsroom management solutions; Studio Suite, which provides tools for on-air programming; and Storage Suite, which provides products for digital storage. It derives most of the revenue from video and audio products and services.

Executives

Kenneth L Gayron	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 34212
Timothy Claman	officer: SVP & GM Video Post & Storage	75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Cordiner Tom J. A.	officer: SVP of Global Sales	PINEWOOD ROAD, IVER HEATH, BUCKINGHAMSHIRE, ENGLAND X0 01803
David Toomey	officer: SVP & GM Audio and Music	75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01830
Mariesa Victoria	officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer	75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Christian Asmar	director	152 WEST 57TH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK CITY NY 10019
Dana Ruzicka	officer: VP, Chief Product Officer	75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Nancy Hawthorne	director	AVID TECHNOLOGY, INC., 75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Robert M Bakish	director	AVID TECHNOLOGY, INC., 75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Lior Netzer	officer: SVP & GM, Media & Cloud	75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Kevin W. Riley	officer: Chief Technology Officer	75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Garrard Brown	officer: Chief Accounting Officer, other: Principal Accounting Officer	AVID TECHNOLOGY, INC., 75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Jason A Duva	officer: Senior VP & General Counsel, other: Corporate Secretary	AVID TECHNOLOGY, INC., 75 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Lauren Taylor Wolfe	10 percent owner	3100 CUMBERLAND BOULEVARD, SUITE 1700, ATLANTA GA 30339
Impactive Capital Llc	10 percent owner	152 WEST 57TH, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK CITY NY 10019