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Andrea Electronics (Andrea Electronics) Predictability Rank


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What is Andrea Electronics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Andrea Electronics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Andrea Electronics Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Andrea Electronics's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Andrea Electronics (Andrea Electronics) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Andrea Electronics Corp (OTCPK:ANDR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
GAXY TKLS WTO AAPL XKRX:005930 TSE:6758 HKSE:01810 TSE:6752 XKRX:066570 XKRX:003550 SZSE:002241 SHSE:603296 SZSE:300866 TSE:6753 SHSE:600060 BOM:540699 SZSE:000050 XKRX:034220 SZSE:002056 SZSE:300735
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
620 Johnson Avenue, Suite 1B, Bohemia, NY, USA, 11716
Website
https://www.andreaelectronics.com
Andrea Electronics Corp is engaged in the design, development, and manufacturing of digital microphone products and noise reduction software that facilitate natural language, human, and machine interfaces. The company's technologies assist in eliminating background noise to enable the optimum performance of various speech-based and audio applications. It operates through two segments. The Patent monetization segment consists of monetization revenues. Its Andrea DSP microphone & audio software products segment includes products such as Andrea digital super directional array microphone technology, Andrea direction-finding & tracking array microphone technology, Andrea pure audio noise-filtering technology, and Andrea EchoStop, an advanced acoustic echo cancellation technology.
Executives
Joseph J Migliozzi director
Douglas J Andrea director, officer: President & CEO C/O ANDREA ELECTRONICS CORPORATION, 65 ORVILLE RAOD, BOHEMIA NY 11716
Louis Libin director C/O ANDREA ELECTRONICS CORP, 45 MELVILLE PARK ROAD, MELVILLE NY 11747
Guiffre Corisa officer: Vice President & CFO ANDREA ELECTRONICS CORPORATION, 65 ORVILLE ROAD, BOHEMIA NY 11716
Gary A Jones director 45 MELVILLE PARK ROAD, MELVILLE NY 11747
Jonathan D Spaet director
Scott Koondel director 45 MELVINE PORK RD, C/O ANDRE ELECTRONICS CORP, MELVILLE NY 11747
John R Croteau director 45 MELVINE PORK RD, C/O ANDRE ELECTRONICS CORP, MELVILLE NY 11747
Paul Donofrio director, officer: President & CEO C/O ANDREA ELECTRONICS CORPORATION, 45 MELVILLE PARK ROAD, MELVILLE NY 11747