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Antiaging Quantum Living (Antiaging Quantum Living) Predictability Rank


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What is Antiaging Quantum Living Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Antiaging Quantum Living Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Antiaging Quantum Living Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Antiaging Quantum Living (Antiaging Quantum Living) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Antiaging Quantum Living Inc (OTCPK:AAQL) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
MOXC GSMG TZUP DRCT DLPN FLNT INUV VSME ICLK TRKA XPAR:PUB OMC SZSE:002027 IPG LSE:WPP TSE:4324 XPAR:DEC TSE:2433 ZD TSE:4751
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
133-27 39th Ave, Ths PH2A, Flushing, New York, NY, USA, 11354
Website
Antiaging Quantum Living Inc Formerly Achison Inc is engaged in the advertising business through its website in the New York area. Its current services focus on website development, maintenance, and promotion.The Company recognizes revenue from the display of impression-based advertisements in the contracted period in which the impressions are displayed.
Executives
New Living Ventures Llc 10 percent owner 133-27 39 AVE THS, #PH2A FLUSHING, NEW YORK NY 11354
Sophia 33, Inc. 10 percent owner 135-22 NORTHERN BLVD., 2ND FLOOR, FLUSHING NY 11354
Dingshan Zhang director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 135-22 NORTHERN BLVD 2ND FL, FLUSHING NY 11354
Dazhong 368 Inc 10 percent owner 135-22 NORTHERN BLVD 2ND FL, FLUSHING NY 11354
Li Liuyan director, 10 percent owner 3906 MAIN STREET, 207, FLUSHING NY 11354
Lansdale Inc 10 percent owner 3906 MAIN STREET, 207, FLUSHING NY 11354
Xie Wanjun director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 3906 MAIN STREET, 207, FLUSHING NY 11354

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