GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Non-Alcoholic » Nongfu Spring Co Ltd (HKSE:09633) » Definitions » Peter Lynch Fair Value

Nongfu Spring Co (HKSE:09633) Peter Lynch Fair Value : HK$26.07 (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Nongfu Spring Co Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Nongfu Spring Co's PEG is 1. Nongfu Spring Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 22.26. Nongfu Spring Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$1.17. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is HK$26.07.

As of today (2024-05-05), Nongfu Spring Co's share price is HK$47.65. Nongfu Spring Co's Peter Lynch fair value is HK$26.07. Therefore, Nongfu Spring Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.83.


The historical rank and industry rank for Nongfu Spring Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09633' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.72   Med: 2.15   Max: 2.57
Current: 1.83


During the past 7 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Nongfu Spring Co was 2.57. The lowest was 1.72. And the median was 2.15.


HKSE:09633's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
75% of 40 companies
in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.26 vs HKSE:09633: 1.83

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Nongfu Spring Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nongfu Spring Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nongfu Spring Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Nongfu Spring Co Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 17.19 26.07

Nongfu Spring Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 17.19 - 26.07

Competitive Comparison of Nongfu Spring Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Nongfu Spring Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Nongfu Spring Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 22.26 *1.171
=26.07

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. Nongfu Spring Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$1.17.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Nongfu Spring Co  (HKSE:09633) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 22.26 instead of 15 in this case.

Nongfu Spring Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=47.65/26.07
=1.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nongfu Spring Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nongfu Spring Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Nongfu Spring Co (HKSE:09633) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 181, Geyazhuang, Xihu District, Hangzhou, CHN, 310024
Founded in 1996, Nongfu Spring is a leading manufacturer of bottled water, ready-to-drink tea, juice and functional beverages in China. It holds the number-one share in the bottled water market; this segment contributed approximately 55% of the firm's revenue and EBIT in 2022.

Nongfu Spring Co (HKSE:09633) Headlines

No Headlines