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Zalando SE (XTER:ZAL) Beneish M-Score : -3.02 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Zalando SE Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.02 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zalando SE's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:ZAL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.02   Med: -2.41   Max: -1.98
Current: -3.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Zalando SE was -1.98. The lowest was -3.02. And the median was -2.41.


Zalando SE Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zalando SE's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zalando SE Beneish M-Score Chart

Zalando SE Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.49 -2.43 -2.38 -3.02

Zalando SE Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.67 -2.72 -2.76 -3.02

Competitive Comparison of Zalando SE's Beneish M-Score

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Zalando SE's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zalando SE's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Zalando SE's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zalando SE's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Zalando SE Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Zalando SE for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0044+0.528 * 1.0116+0.404 * 0.9478+0.892 * 0.9805+0.115 * 1.0388
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9946+4.679 * -0.111237-0.327 * 0.9774
=-3.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €899 Mil.
Revenue was 3056.2 + 2274.9 + 2556.4 + 2255.6 = €10,143 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1203.6 + 834.7 + 1037.7 + 854.5 = €3,931 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,249 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,790 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,040 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €334 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,243 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,526 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,719 Mil.
Net Income was 73 + -8.2 + 56.6 + -38.5 = €83 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 826.2 + -81.1 + 371.1 + -166.8 = €949 Mil.
Total Receivables was €913 Mil.
Revenue was 3167.6 + 2349.1 + 2623 + 2205 = €10,345 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1208 + 917.9 + 1076.3 + 853.1 = €4,055 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,284 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,626 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,825 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €312 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,275 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,667 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,587 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(899.1 / 10143.1) / (913 / 10344.7)
=0.088642 / 0.088258
=1.0044

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4055.3 / 10344.7) / (3930.5 / 10143.1)
=0.392017 / 0.387505
=1.0116

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5249 + 2039.6) / 7789.7) / (1 - (5283.8 + 1824.7) / 7626.1)
=0.064329 / 0.067872
=0.9478

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10143.1 / 10344.7
=0.9805

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(312.4 / (312.4 + 1824.7)) / (334 / (334 + 2039.6))
=0.146179 / 0.140715
=1.0388

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1243.3 / 10143.1) / (1274.9 / 10344.7)
=0.122576 / 0.123242
=0.9946

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1719.4 + 3526.1) / 7789.7) / ((1587 + 3666.9) / 7626.1)
=0.673389 / 0.688937
=0.9774

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(82.9 - 0 - 949.4) / 7789.7
=-0.111237

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Zalando SE has a M-score of -3.02 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Zalando SE Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Zalando SE (XTER:ZAL) Business Description

Address
Valeska-Gert-Strabe 5, Berlin, DEU, 10243
Zalando, founded in 2008, is Europe's biggest pure-play online fashion platform. Zalando is present in 25 European countries, and its major market is the DACH region, comprising Germany, Austria, and Switzerland, which accounts for around 40% of revenue. The company commands 4% of European apparel sales and 12% market share in European online apparel sales. It has 12 fulfilment centers and presents over 7,000 brands on its platform. In 2022, Zalando had over 50 million active users (more than 10% of the population in countries where the firm has a presence) and over 7 billion site visits.
Executives
James Marvin Freeman Board of Directors
Anders Holch Povlsen Supervisory Board
David Schröder Board of Directors

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