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Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Beneish M-Score : -2.78 (As of May. 30, 2024)


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What is Compania Chilena de Fosforos Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSGO:FOSFOROS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.03   Med: -2.28   Max: -1.96
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Compania Chilena de Fosforos was -1.96. The lowest was -3.03. And the median was -2.28.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Beneish M-Score Chart

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.14 -2.86 -2.12 -1.96 -2.78

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.96 -2.28 -2.47 -2.73 -2.78

Competitive Comparison of Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Beneish M-Score

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Compania Chilena de Fosforos Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Compania Chilena de Fosforos for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9265+0.528 * 0.9175+0.404 * 0.6864+0.892 * 0.9039+0.115 * 1.8179
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1002+4.679 * -0.029035-0.327 * 0.7365
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was CLP10,811 Mil.
Revenue was 13716.516 + 7528.003 + 7345.897 + 8322.823 = CLP36,913 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7490.753 + 2279.701 + 2449.092 + 2337.545 = CLP14,557 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CLP28,261 Mil.
Total Assets was CLP166,703 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CLP125,414 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CLP909 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CLP6,195 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CLP24,114 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CLP13,966 Mil.
Net Income was 2520.919 + -1115.763 + -544.589 + -324.921 = CLP536 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = CLP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3743.474 + 2101.037 + -501.136 + 32.469 = CLP5,376 Mil.
Total Receivables was CLP12,909 Mil.
Revenue was 13082.694 + 10312.947 + 8925.867 + 8517.068 = CLP40,839 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4800.587 + 3906.184 + 3167.686 + 2901.609 = CLP14,776 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CLP28,740 Mil.
Total Assets was CLP99,033 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CLP59,017 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CLP782 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CLP6,229 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CLP22,441 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CLP8,274 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10810.909 / 36913.239) / (12909.057 / 40838.576)
=0.292873 / 0.3161
=0.9265

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14776.066 / 40838.576) / (14557.091 / 36913.239)
=0.361816 / 0.39436
=0.9175

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (28261.202 + 125414.095) / 166702.942) / (1 - (28739.684 + 59017.264) / 99032.666)
=0.078149 / 0.113859
=0.6864

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=36913.239 / 40838.576
=0.9039

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(782.499 / (782.499 + 59017.264)) / (909.328 / (909.328 + 125414.095))
=0.013085 / 0.007198
=1.8179

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6194.995 / 36913.239) / (6229.385 / 40838.576)
=0.167826 / 0.152537
=1.1002

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13965.969 + 24114.039) / 166702.942) / ((8273.519 + 22441.247) / 99032.666)
=0.22843 / 0.310148
=0.7365

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(535.646 - 0 - 5375.844) / 166702.942
=-0.029035

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Compania Chilena de Fosforos has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Los Conquistadores 1700, Piso 15 Providencia, Santiago, CHL
Compania Chilena de Fosforos SA manufactures and trades safety matches. The company exports splints, matches, ice cream sticks, chopsticks, paint paddles, and other wooden microproducts to Wall Mart, Home Depot, and Unilever. It sales its products under Los Andes and Copihue brands in the national market, and for overseas its brands are Monarca and Penley.

Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Headlines

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