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Ghana Oil Co (XGHA:GOIL) Beneish M-Score : -1.40 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Ghana Oil Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.4 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ghana Oil Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XGHA:GOIL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -72.41   Med: -2.53   Max: -1.32
Current: -1.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ghana Oil Co was -1.32. The lowest was -72.41. And the median was -2.53.


Ghana Oil Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ghana Oil Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ghana Oil Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Ghana Oil Co Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -72.41 -2.45 -2.74 -2.60 -1.40

Ghana Oil Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -72.41 -2.45 -2.74 -2.60 -1.40

Competitive Comparison of Ghana Oil Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Ghana Oil Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ghana Oil Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ghana Oil Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ghana Oil Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ghana Oil Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ghana Oil Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.704+0.528 * 1.9597+0.404 * 0.5129+0.892 * 2.7524+0.115 * 0.9488
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5808+4.679 * -0.11472-0.327 * 1.1468
=-1.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was GHS1,847 Mil.
Revenue was GHS20,744 Mil.
Gross Profit was GHS639 Mil.
Total Current Assets was GHS3,170 Mil.
Total Assets was GHS4,610 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was GHS1,430 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was GHS64 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was GHS321 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was GHS3,711 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was GHS90 Mil.
Net Income was GHS124 Mil.
Gross Profit was GHS0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was GHS653 Mil.
Total Receivables was GHS953 Mil.
Revenue was GHS7,537 Mil.
Gross Profit was GHS455 Mil.
Total Current Assets was GHS1,272 Mil.
Total Assets was GHS2,497 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was GHS1,216 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was GHS52 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was GHS201 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was GHS1,670 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was GHS125 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1847.191 / 20744.046) / (953.357 / 7536.824)
=0.089047 / 0.126493
=0.704

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(455.114 / 7536.824) / (639.185 / 20744.046)
=0.060385 / 0.030813
=1.9597

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3170.497 + 1430.414) / 4609.544) / (1 - (1271.755 + 1216.353) / 2497.227)
=0.001873 / 0.003652
=0.5129

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=20744.046 / 7536.824
=2.7524

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(51.51 / (51.51 + 1216.353)) / (63.992 / (63.992 + 1430.414))
=0.040627 / 0.042821
=0.9488

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(321.257 / 20744.046) / (200.98 / 7536.824)
=0.015487 / 0.026666
=0.5808

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((90.005 + 3710.849) / 4609.544) / ((125.405 + 1670.144) / 2497.227)
=0.824562 / 0.719017
=1.1468

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(123.894 - 0 - 652.7) / 4609.544
=-0.11472

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ghana Oil Co has a M-score of -1.40 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Ghana Oil Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ghana Oil Co (XGHA:GOIL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Junction of Kojo Thompson and Adjaben Roads, Building No. D 659/4, P.O. Box GP 3183, Adabraka, Accra, GHA
Ghana Oil Co Ltd (GOIL) is engaged in the marketing and distribution of petroleum products. Its objective is to market petroleum products and related products particularly fuels, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), lubricants, bitumen, and specialty products in Ghana. The company is engaged in the business of marketing quality petroleum and other energy products and services in all its branches in a healthy, safe, environmentally friendly and socially responsible manner.

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