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KGHM Polska Miedz (WAR:KGH) Beneish M-Score : 1.71 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 1.71 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:KGH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.3   Med: -2.85   Max: 1.71
Current: 1.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KGHM Polska Miedz was 1.71. The lowest was -4.30. And the median was -2.85.


KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score Chart

KGHM Polska Miedz Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.96 -2.76 -1.80 -2.09 1.71

KGHM Polska Miedz Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.09 -2.36 -2.90 -2.26 1.71

Competitive Comparison of KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score

For the Copper subindustry, KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score falls into.



KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of KGHM Polska Miedz for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8187+0.528 * 11.1342+0.404 * 1.0034+0.892 * 0.9888+0.115 * 0.9087
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.134+4.679 * -0.189732-0.327 * 1.1826
=1.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł1,279 Mil.
Revenue was 7819 + 7891 + 8172 + 9585 = zł33,467 Mil.
Gross Profit was -1934 + 666 + 745 + 1083 = zł560 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł13,402 Mil.
Total Assets was zł51,383 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł26,436 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł2,311 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł2,200 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł11,617 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł4,761 Mil.
Net Income was -4526 + 434 + 231 + 163 = zł-3,698 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2409 + 712 + 1450 + 1480 = zł6,051 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł1,580 Mil.
Revenue was 8151 + 7770 + 8933 + 8993 = zł33,847 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1253 + 1159 + 1732 + 2162 = zł6,306 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł13,065 Mil.
Total Assets was zł53,444 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł28,412 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł2,239 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł1,962 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł9,185 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł5,220 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1279 / 33467) / (1580 / 33847)
=0.038217 / 0.046681
=0.8187

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6306 / 33847) / (560 / 33467)
=0.186309 / 0.016733
=11.1342

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13402 + 26436) / 51383) / (1 - (13065 + 28412) / 53444)
=0.224685 / 0.223917
=1.0034

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=33467 / 33847
=0.9888

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2239 / (2239 + 28412)) / (2311 / (2311 + 26436))
=0.073048 / 0.080391
=0.9087

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2200 / 33467) / (1962 / 33847)
=0.065736 / 0.057967
=1.134

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4761 + 11617) / 51383) / ((5220 + 9185) / 53444)
=0.318744 / 0.269534
=1.1826

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-3698 - 0 - 6051) / 51383
=-0.189732

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

KGHM Polska Miedz has a M-score of 1.71 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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KGHM Polska Miedz (WAR:KGH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
48 M.Sklodowskiej-Curie Street, Lubin, POL, 59-301
KGHM Polska Miedz SA engages in copper ore mining and copper production primarily in South-Western Poland. The company also produces precious metals such as silver, which is typically used for coins, jewellery, photography products and industrial purposes. The bulk of group revenue is generated through copper sales, and the remainder is primarily through sales of silver, while a minor portion is generated through the production of gold, salt and casting of light metals. The materials are sold domestically, and exported to Germany, China, the U.S., the United Kingdom and the Czech Republic, among many other European nations. KGHM Polska Miedz SA is also involved in construction and engineering, through its wholly owned subsidiary Bipromet SA.

KGHM Polska Miedz (WAR:KGH) Headlines

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