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Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa (WAR:JSW) Beneish M-Score : -2.21 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:JSW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -120.13   Med: -2.77   Max: -1.59
Current: -2.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa was -1.59. The lowest was -120.13. And the median was -2.77.


Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa Beneish M-Score Chart

Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -5.37 -2.17 -2.49 -2.21

Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.54 -2.61 -2.74 -2.21

Competitive Comparison of Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa's Beneish M-Score

For the Coking Coal subindustry, Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1035+0.528 * 2.1148+0.404 * 1.0089+0.892 * 0.7594+0.115 * 1.0724
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6792+4.679 * -0.02711-0.327 * 0.9018
=-2.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł1,485 Mil.
Revenue was 3338.8 + 3401.9 + 4139.4 + 4458.4 = zł15,339 Mil.
Gross Profit was 570.7 + 404.5 + 1209.6 + 1663 = zł3,848 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł5,698 Mil.
Total Assets was zł27,794 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł13,447 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł1,729 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł1,510 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł7,011 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł1,165 Mil.
Net Income was 153.5 + -1208.5 + 780.6 + 1268.3 = zł994 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1318.8 + 941.3 + 265.4 + 1859.5 = zł1,747 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł1,772 Mil.
Revenue was 4149.3 + 5146 + 5972.3 + 4930.9 = zł20,199 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1770.5 + 2870.1 + 3418.7 + 2656.6 = zł10,716 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł7,852 Mil.
Total Assets was zł27,071 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł10,869 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł1,513 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł1,184 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł7,734 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł1,096 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1484.5 / 15338.5) / (1771.6 / 20198.5)
=0.096783 / 0.087709
=1.1035

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10715.9 / 20198.5) / (3847.8 / 15338.5)
=0.530529 / 0.250859
=2.1148

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5697.9 + 13447.1) / 27793.8) / (1 - (7852.3 + 10869) / 27070.8)
=0.311177 / 0.308432
=1.0089

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15338.5 / 20198.5
=0.7594

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1512.9 / (1512.9 + 10869)) / (1729.2 / (1729.2 + 13447.1))
=0.122186 / 0.113941
=1.0724

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1509.5 / 15338.5) / (1183.8 / 20198.5)
=0.098412 / 0.058608
=1.6792

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1164.8 + 7010.8) / 27793.8) / ((1096.4 + 7733.7) / 27070.8)
=0.294152 / 0.326185
=0.9018

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(993.9 - 0 - 1747.4) / 27793.8
=-0.02711

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa has a M-score of -2.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa (WAR:JSW) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Al. Jana Paw?a II 4, Jastrzebie Zdroj, POL, 44-330
Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa SA is a coal producer, based in Poland, and it is one of the major producers within the European Union. The company predominantly produces hard coking coal which is an essential component in the production of steel, and in its coking plants, the company processes approximately half of the coking coal it produces. Additionally, the company is engaged in natural gas mining and generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. The company's products are sold domestically as well as to Germany, Austria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania and Hungary.

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