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Vector Group (Vector Group) Beneish M-Score : -2.99 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Vector Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vector Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VGR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.5   Med: -2.47   Max: -1.67
Current: -2.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vector Group was -1.67. The lowest was -3.50. And the median was -2.47.


Vector Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vector Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vector Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Vector Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.16 -3.50 -2.35 -1.67 -2.99

Vector Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.67 -2.64 -2.21 -2.60 -2.99

Competitive Comparison of Vector Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Tobacco subindustry, Vector Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vector Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Vector Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vector Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Vector Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vector Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5445+0.528 * 0.9527+0.404 * 0.9758+0.892 * 0.9884+0.115 * 1.1695
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0999+4.679 * -0.014133-0.327 * 0.9439
=-2.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $26 Mil.
Revenue was 360.35 + 364.111 + 365.662 + 334.145 = $1,424 Mil.
Gross Profit was 121.952 + 118.431 + 116.678 + 101.859 = $459 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $510 Mil.
Total Assets was $934 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $54 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $112 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $145 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,380 Mil.
Net Income was 57.997 + 52.699 + 38.089 + 34.741 = $184 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1.196 + 2.683 + -14.357 + -2.778 = $-13 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -130.987 + 122.753 + 97.436 + 120.782 = $210 Mil.
Total Receivables was $49 Mil.
Revenue was 363.77 + 377.995 + 387.202 + 312.042 = $1,441 Mil.
Gross Profit was 116.188 + 110.972 + 115.964 + 99.227 = $442 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $492 Mil.
Total Assets was $909 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $47 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $103 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $176 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,396 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(26.442 / 1424.268) / (49.131 / 1441.009)
=0.018565 / 0.034095
=0.5445

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(442.351 / 1441.009) / (458.92 / 1424.268)
=0.306973 / 0.322215
=0.9527

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (509.601 + 54.397) / 934.095) / (1 - (492.365 + 47.322) / 908.591)
=0.396209 / 0.406018
=0.9758

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1424.268 / 1441.009
=0.9884

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7.218 / (7.218 + 47.322)) / (6.941 / (6.941 + 54.397))
=0.132343 / 0.11316
=1.1695

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(112.086 / 1424.268) / (103.102 / 1441.009)
=0.078697 / 0.071548
=1.0999

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1379.988 + 144.923) / 934.095) / ((1395.73 + 175.624) / 908.591)
=1.632501 / 1.72944
=0.9439

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(183.526 - -13.256 - 209.984) / 934.095
=-0.014133

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vector Group has a M-score of -2.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Vector Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Vector Group (Vector Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4400 Biscayne Boulevard, 10th Floor, Miami, FL, USA, 33137
Vector Group Ltd is a holding company whose subsidiaries--Liggett Group, Vector Tobacco, and New Valley-- primarily sell tobacco products and invest in real estate. The Liggett Group and Vector Tobacco subsidiaries sell cigarettes, primarily in the discount segment, in the United States under brand names Eagle 20's, Pyramid, Grand Prix, Liggett Select, and Eve. New Valley, through its majority ownership in Douglas Elliman Realty, invests in real estate worldwide. It also operates the largest residential brokerage company in the New York City area and has additional operations in South Florida, Beverly Hills, Aspen, and Connecticut. Tobacco accounts for more than half of total company revenue; real estate makes up the remainder.
Executives
Bennett S Lebow director 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Kirkland J Bryant Iii officer: VP, Treasurer & CFO 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Richard Lampen officer: EVP 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD.; 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Ronald J Bernstein director, officer: President Subsidiary 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Paul V Carlucci director 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, C/O VECTOR GROUP LTD., MIAMI FL 33137
Wilson White director C/O VECTOR GROUP LTD, 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD; 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
James D Ballard officer: See Remarks 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD., TENTH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Nicholas P Anson officer: President Subsidiary C/0 LIGGETT VECTOR BRANDS LLC, 3800 PARAMOUNT PARKWAY, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Frost Phillip Md Et Al 10 percent owner 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, MIAMI FL 33137-3227
Howard M Lorber director, officer: President and CEO 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Barry Watkins director 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, C/O VECTOR GROUP LTD., MIAMI FL 33137
Jeffrey Podell director 7338 FLORANADA WAY, DELRAY BEACH FL 33446
Henry C Beinstein director 8 DOGWOOD LANE, LARCHMONT NY 10538-3418
Stanley Samuel Arkin director 750 LEXINGTON AVENUE, FLOOR 25, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jean E Sharpe director

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