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Western Forest Products (TSX:WEF) Beneish M-Score : -1.43 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Western Forest Products Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.43 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Western Forest Products's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:WEF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.14   Med: -2.47   Max: -1.24
Current: -1.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Western Forest Products was -1.24. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.47.


Western Forest Products Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Western Forest Products's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Western Forest Products Beneish M-Score Chart

Western Forest Products Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -2.53 -3.14 -1.24 -1.43

Western Forest Products Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.24 -1.58 -1.21 -0.78 -1.43

Competitive Comparison of Western Forest Products's Beneish M-Score

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Western Forest Products's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Western Forest Products's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Western Forest Products's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Western Forest Products's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Western Forest Products Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Western Forest Products for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3554+0.528 * 3.5232+0.404 * 1.0092+0.892 * 0.7046+0.115 * 0.9195
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1404+4.679 * -0.028512-0.327 * 1.5608
=-1.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$74 Mil.
Revenue was 246.6 + 231.1 + 276 + 263.8 = C$1,018 Mil.
Gross Profit was 28.6 + -0.5 + 6.3 + 16.5 = C$51 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$335 Mil.
Total Assets was C$915 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$354 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$54 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$116 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$121 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$97 Mil.
Net Income was -13.8 + -16.7 + -21 + -17 = C$-69 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -3.4 + 2.4 + -2.4 + -5.3 = C$-9 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -0.8 + -14.1 + 7 + -25.8 = C$-34 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$78 Mil.
Revenue was 291 + 356 + 437.4 + 359.6 = C$1,444 Mil.
Gross Profit was 27.5 + 41.4 + 94.2 + 91.4 = C$255 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$340 Mil.
Total Assets was C$933 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$365 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$50 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$145 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$126 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$16 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(74.4 / 1017.5) / (77.9 / 1444)
=0.07312 / 0.053947
=1.3554

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(254.5 / 1444) / (50.9 / 1017.5)
=0.176247 / 0.050025
=3.5232

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (334.9 + 354.4) / 915.4) / (1 - (339.8 + 364.7) / 932.8)
=0.246996 / 0.244747
=1.0092

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1017.5 / 1444
=0.7046

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(50.2 / (50.2 + 364.7)) / (53.7 / (53.7 + 354.4))
=0.120993 / 0.131585
=0.9195

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(116.2 / 1017.5) / (144.6 / 1444)
=0.114201 / 0.100139
=1.1404

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((96.8 + 121) / 915.4) / ((16.4 + 125.8) / 932.8)
=0.237929 / 0.152444
=1.5608

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-68.5 - -8.7 - -33.7) / 915.4
=-0.028512

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Western Forest Products has a M-score of -1.43 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Western Forest Products Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Western Forest Products (TSX:WEF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1055 West Georgia Street, Suite 800, P.O. Box 11122, Royal Centre Building, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6E 3P3
Western Forest Products Inc is a Canada-based softwood forest products company. The company's principal business activities include timber harvesting, reforestation, forest management, sawmilling logs into lumber and wood chips, and value-added lumber remanufacturing. Its operating business segment comprises Timber harvesting, Log sales, and Lumber manufacturing and sales. The firm purchases and harvests logs which are then manufactured into lumber products at its sawmills, or sold. Canada and the United States, represent the company's large markets and contribute the vast majority of its total revenue.

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