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Enerplus (TSX:ERF) Beneish M-Score : -3.19 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Enerplus Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.19 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Enerplus's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:ERF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.31   Med: -2.81   Max: -0.59
Current: -3.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Enerplus was -0.59. The lowest was -4.31. And the median was -2.81.


Enerplus Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Enerplus's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Enerplus Beneish M-Score Chart

Enerplus Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.54 -3.09 -2.48 -3.11 -3.51

Enerplus Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.63 -3.88 -3.23 -3.51 -3.19

Competitive Comparison of Enerplus's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Enerplus's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Enerplus's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Enerplus's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Enerplus's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Enerplus Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Enerplus for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4399+0.528 * 1.3908+0.404 * 0.7953+0.892 * 0.7488+0.115 * 0.9614
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3171+4.679 * -0.214549-0.327 * 0.8648
=-3.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$342 Mil.
Revenue was 491.074 + 556.143 + 632.111 + 485.134 = C$2,164 Mil.
Gross Profit was 187.939 + 206.103 + 323.122 + 215.431 = C$933 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$426 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,759 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$2,147 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$515 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$95 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$609 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$144 Mil.
Net Income was 89.522 + 156.567 + 172.73 + 98.626 = C$517 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -10.05 + 41.092 + -17.09 + -13.526 = C$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 174.15 + 399.724 + 287.189 + 247.914 = C$1,109 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$317 Mil.
Revenue was 612.302 + 884.071 + 767.055 + 627.168 = C$2,891 Mil.
Gross Profit was 324.91 + 578.062 + 454.609 + 374.567 = C$1,732 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$499 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,657 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,932 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$441 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$96 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$661 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$177 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(341.88 / 2164.462) / (317.083 / 2890.596)
=0.157951 / 0.109695
=1.4399

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1732.148 / 2890.596) / (932.595 / 2164.462)
=0.599236 / 0.430867
=1.3908

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (426.02 + 2146.709) / 2759.077) / (1 - (499.357 + 1932.176) / 2657.182)
=0.06754 / 0.08492
=0.7953

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2164.462 / 2890.596
=0.7488

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(441.369 / (441.369 + 1932.176)) / (514.752 / (514.752 + 2146.709))
=0.185953 / 0.19341
=0.9614

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(94.879 / 2164.462) / (96.203 / 2890.596)
=0.043835 / 0.033281
=1.3171

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((144.255 + 608.58) / 2759.077) / ((177.343 + 661.068) / 2657.182)
=0.272858 / 0.315526
=0.8648

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(517.445 - 0.426 - 1108.977) / 2759.077
=-0.214549

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Enerplus has a M-score of -3.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Enerplus Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Enerplus (TSX:ERF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3000, 333 - 7th Avenue S.W., The Dome Tower, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 2Z1
Enerplus Corp produces and develops crude oil and natural gas assets in Canada and the United States. The majority of oil production is derived from the Williston and Waterfloods basins, with the Marcellus providing a significant portion of natural gas production. Enerplus acquires the right to use assets through royalties paid to government entities, land owners and mineral rights owners. Crude oil and natural gas are sold to customers in both countries where assets are held and can be sold either at the well or a fixed destination.
Executives
Shaina Brianne Morihira Senior Officer
Nathan Douglas Fisher Senior Officer
Garth Robert Doll Senior Officer
Terry Scott Eichinger Senior Officer

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