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BRP (TSX:DOO) Beneish M-Score : -3.01 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is BRP Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.01 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for BRP's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:DOO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.73   Max: -1.76
Current: -3.01

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of BRP was -1.76. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.73.


BRP Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for BRP's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BRP Beneish M-Score Chart

BRP Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -3.26 -2.06 -1.76 -3.01

BRP Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.76 -2.12 -2.35 -2.69 -3.01

Competitive Comparison of BRP's Beneish M-Score

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, BRP's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BRP's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, BRP's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BRP's Beneish M-Score falls into.



BRP Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of BRP for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.993+0.528 * 0.9928+0.404 * 0.9361+0.892 * 1.0332+0.115 * 0.8836
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0744+4.679 * -0.110058-0.327 * 0.9516
=-3.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$717 Mil.
Revenue was 2691.8 + 2467.8 + 2778 + 2429.4 = C$10,367 Mil.
Gross Profit was 652.8 + 627.4 + 697.6 + 623.5 = C$2,601 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$3,529 Mil.
Total Assets was C$6,776 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$2,174 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$392 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$860 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$2,505 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$2,847 Mil.
Net Income was 188.5 + 63 + 337.7 + 154.2 = C$743 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -18.8 + -164 + 70.8 + -57 = C$-169 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 604.9 + 305 + 489.4 + 258.8 = C$1,658 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$699 Mil.
Revenue was 3076.3 + 2709.3 + 2438.5 + 1809.3 = C$10,033 Mil.
Gross Profit was 787.6 + 654.7 + 602.7 + 454.4 = C$2,499 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$3,381 Mil.
Total Assets was C$6,465 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,991 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$310 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$775 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$2,483 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$2,883 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(717.1 / 10367) / (698.9 / 10033.4)
=0.069171 / 0.069657
=0.993

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2499.4 / 10033.4) / (2601.3 / 10367)
=0.249108 / 0.250921
=0.9928

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3528.8 + 2174) / 6775.5) / (1 - (3380.6 + 1990.7) / 6464.6)
=0.15832 / 0.169121
=0.9361

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10367 / 10033.4
=1.0332

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(310.4 / (310.4 + 1990.7)) / (391.7 / (391.7 + 2174))
=0.134892 / 0.152668
=0.8836

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(860.2 / 10367) / (774.9 / 10033.4)
=0.082975 / 0.077232
=1.0744

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2847 + 2505.1) / 6775.5) / ((2883 + 2483.3) / 6464.6)
=0.78992 / 0.830105
=0.9516

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(743.4 - -169 - 1658.1) / 6775.5
=-0.110058

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

BRP has a M-score of -3.01 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


BRP (TSX:DOO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
726 Saint-Joseph Street, Valcourt, QC, CAN, J0E 2L0
BRP designs, develops, manufactures, distributes, and markets snowmobiles, all-terrain vehicles, and personal watercraft under the Ski-Doo, Sea-Doo, Can-Am, and Lynx brand names. It also builds engines under the Rotax brand (after shuttering the Evinrude outboard engine business in 2020) and offers clothing, parts, and accessories that cater to its core consumers. In 2018, BRP created a marine group, acquiring boat manufacturers Alumacraft, Triton (which makes Manitou pontoon boats), and Telwater (in Australia). At the end of fiscal 2023, the company sold its products through a network of more than 2,600 independent dealers and 150 distributors in about 130 countries.

BRP (TSX:DOO) Headlines

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