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Ceres Global Ag (TSX:CRP) Beneish M-Score : -1.42 (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Ceres Global Ag Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.42 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ceres Global Ag's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:CRP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3246.11   Med: -2.3   Max: -0.96
Current: -1.42

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ceres Global Ag was -0.96. The lowest was -3246.11. And the median was -2.30.


Ceres Global Ag Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ceres Global Ag's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ceres Global Ag Beneish M-Score Chart

Ceres Global Ag Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -1.77 -1.32 -3.04 -2.50

Ceres Global Ag Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.14 -2.50 -2.37 -2.30 -1.42

Competitive Comparison of Ceres Global Ag's Beneish M-Score

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Ceres Global Ag's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ceres Global Ag's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ceres Global Ag's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ceres Global Ag's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ceres Global Ag Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ceres Global Ag for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.4077+0.528 * 0.5125+0.404 * 1.0174+0.892 * 0.8312+0.115 * 0.9481
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1195+4.679 * 0.040341-0.327 * 0.9778
=-1.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$47 Mil.
Revenue was 287.395 + 378.6 + 292.27 + 273.229 = C$1,231 Mil.
Gross Profit was 10.517 + 10.544 + 19.186 + 6.563 = C$47 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$197 Mil.
Total Assets was C$381 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$135 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$28 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$120 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$55 Mil.
Net Income was 1.333 + 3.582 + 8.397 + -3.327 = C$10 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.277 + -0.549 + -0.07 + 0.027 = C$-1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 24.229 + 59.461 + -94.749 + 6.523 = C$-5 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$24 Mil.
Revenue was 393.95 + 384.491 + 346.965 + 356.143 = C$1,482 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7.543 + 9.166 + 7.423 + 4.729 = C$29 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$183 Mil.
Total Assets was C$375 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$144 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$30 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$117 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$58 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(47.089 / 1231.494) / (23.528 / 1481.549)
=0.038237 / 0.015881
=2.4077

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(28.861 / 1481.549) / (46.81 / 1231.494)
=0.01948 / 0.038011
=0.5125

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (196.785 + 134.656) / 381.499) / (1 - (182.574 + 143.639) / 374.516)
=0.131214 / 0.128974
=1.0174

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1231.494 / 1481.549
=0.8312

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8.952 / (8.952 + 143.639)) / (8.882 / (8.882 + 134.656))
=0.058667 / 0.061879
=0.9481

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(28.289 / 1231.494) / (30.4 / 1481.549)
=0.022971 / 0.020519
=1.1195

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((54.584 + 119.692) / 381.499) / ((58.175 + 116.795) / 374.516)
=0.456819 / 0.46719
=0.9778

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9.985 - -0.869 - -4.536) / 381.499
=0.040341

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ceres Global Ag has a M-score of -1.42 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Ceres Global Ag Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ceres Global Ag (TSX:CRP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
701 Xenia Avenue S., Suite 400, Golden Valley, MN, USA, 55416
Ceres Global Ag Corp is engaged in the agricultural, energy, and industrial supply chains through sourcing, storing, transporting, and marketing of commodity-based products and raw materials. It has three operating segments. The Grain segment, which is the key revenue driver, is engaged in grain procurement and merchandising of specialty grains and oilseeds such as oats, barley, rye, hard red spring wheat, durum wheat, canola, and pulses. The Supply Chain Services segment utilizes the corporation's facilities to provide logistics services, storage, and transloading for commodities and industrial products. The Seed and Processing segment is engaged in soybean crush, specialty crops blending, birdfeed production, and seed distribution in Western Canada.
Executives
James Thomas Vanasek Director, Director or Senior Officer of 10% Security Holder

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