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Aris Mining (TSX:ARIS) Beneish M-Score : -2.48 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Aris Mining Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aris Mining's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:ARIS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.18   Med: -2.49   Max: 183.96
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aris Mining was 183.96. The lowest was -4.18. And the median was -2.49.


Aris Mining Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aris Mining's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aris Mining Beneish M-Score Chart

Aris Mining Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 -2.63 -0.26 -2.07 -2.49

Aris Mining Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.98 -1.12 -2.10 -2.49 -2.48

Competitive Comparison of Aris Mining's Beneish M-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Aris Mining's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aris Mining's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aris Mining's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aris Mining's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Aris Mining Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aris Mining for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8667+0.528 * 1.2964+0.404 * 0.9735+0.892 * 1.1668+0.115 * 0.8935
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1269+4.679 * -0.035348-0.327 * 0.9292
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$79.0 Mil.
Revenue was 145.674 + 167.677 + 157.594 + 145.236 = C$616.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 38.94 + 54.829 + 50.061 + 49.88 = C$193.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$343.6 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,831.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,319.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$54.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$34.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$179.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$466.8 Mil.
Net Income was -1.007 + -7.974 + 16.835 + 10.972 = C$18.8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -5.665 + -22.784 + -3.03 + -11.389 = C$-42.9 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1.065 + 54.61 + 60.573 + 12.325 = C$126.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$78.1 Mil.
Revenue was 132.598 + 140.416 + 125.265 + 129.795 = C$528.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 48.651 + 55.152 + 57.359 + 54.052 = C$215.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$437.0 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,659.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,065.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$38.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$26.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$131.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$498.6 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(79.012 / 616.181) / (78.131 / 528.074)
=0.128229 / 0.147955
=0.8667

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(215.214 / 528.074) / (193.71 / 616.181)
=0.407545 / 0.314372
=1.2964

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (343.557 + 1319.941) / 1831.781) / (1 - (437.039 + 1065.699) / 1659.321)
=0.091869 / 0.094366
=0.9735

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=616.181 / 528.074
=1.1668

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(38.869 / (38.869 + 1065.699)) / (54.118 / (54.118 + 1319.941))
=0.035189 / 0.039385
=0.8935

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(34.435 / 616.181) / (26.189 / 528.074)
=0.055885 / 0.049593
=1.1269

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((466.836 + 179.177) / 1831.781) / ((498.595 + 131.161) / 1659.321)
=0.352669 / 0.379526
=0.9292

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(18.826 - -42.868 - 126.443) / 1831.781
=-0.035348

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aris Mining has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Aris Mining Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Aris Mining (TSX:ARIS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
425 Hornby Street, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 2Y2
Aris Mining Corp is primarily engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and operation of gold properties in Colombia, Guyana and Canada. It owns and operates its Segovia Operations, Soto Norte Project and Marmato Mine in Colombia, Toroparu Project in Guyana and the Juby Project in Ontario, Canada. The company generates revenue from the sale of gold and silver.