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Arcs Co (TSE:9948) Beneish M-Score : -2.61 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Arcs Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arcs Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9948' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83   Med: -2.47   Max: -2.2
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arcs Co was -2.20. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.47.


Arcs Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arcs Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arcs Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Arcs Co Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -2.83 -2.45 -2.41 -2.61

Arcs Co Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.47 -2.64 -2.73 -2.61

Competitive Comparison of Arcs Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Department Stores subindustry, Arcs Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arcs Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Arcs Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arcs Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Arcs Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arcs Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0317+0.528 * 0.9915+0.404 * 1.0447+0.892 * 1.0448+0.115 * 0.9235
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.94+4.679 * -0.044681-0.327 * 1.0046
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb24) TTM:Last Year (Feb23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円6,718 Mil.
Revenue was 155147 + 144209 + 149301 + 142900 = 円591,557 Mil.
Gross Profit was 40148 + 35921 + 37167 + 36181 = 円149,417 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円108,890 Mil.
Total Assets was 円274,972 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円142,054 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円9,874 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円16,594 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円66,840 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円17,634 Mil.
Net Income was 3859 + 2108 + 2791 + 3008 = 円11,766 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 7805 + -1564 + 9177 + 8634 = 円24,052 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円6,232 Mil.
Revenue was 147429 + 137531 + 142952 + 138297 = 円566,209 Mil.
Gross Profit was 37717 + 34519 + 35089 + 34475 = 円141,800 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円105,729 Mil.
Total Assets was 円266,155 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円138,163 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円8,822 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円16,897 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円62,899 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円18,493 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6718 / 591557) / (6232 / 566209)
=0.011356 / 0.011007
=1.0317

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(141800 / 566209) / (149417 / 591557)
=0.250438 / 0.252583
=0.9915

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (108890 + 142054) / 274972) / (1 - (105729 + 138163) / 266155)
=0.087383 / 0.083647
=1.0447

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=591557 / 566209
=1.0448

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8822 / (8822 + 138163)) / (9874 / (9874 + 142054))
=0.06002 / 0.064991
=0.9235

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(16594 / 591557) / (16897 / 566209)
=0.028051 / 0.029842
=0.94

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17634 + 66840) / 274972) / ((18493 + 62899) / 266155)
=0.307209 / 0.305807
=1.0046

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(11766 - 0 - 24052) / 274972
=-0.044681

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arcs Co has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Arcs Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Arcs Co (TSE:9948) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11-2-32, Minami 13-jo Nishi, Chuo-ku, Sapporo, JPN, 064-8610
Arcs Co Ltd is a Japan-based company principally engaged in the supermarket business. The company also operates other businesses through subsidiaries, including tourism, building maintenance, real estate leasing, property and casualty insurance and life insurance agency, wholesale, food manufacturing, industrial and general waste collection, and construction businesses. The supermarket segment offers a broad range of merchandise, including foods, apparel, and housing-related products.

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