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Nagoya Railroad Co (TSE:9048) Beneish M-Score : -2.75 (As of May. 08, 2024)


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What is Nagoya Railroad Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nagoya Railroad Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9048' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.82   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.68
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nagoya Railroad Co was -1.68. The lowest was -2.82. And the median was -2.59.


Nagoya Railroad Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nagoya Railroad Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nagoya Railroad Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Nagoya Railroad Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.77 -1.68 -2.81 -2.75

Nagoya Railroad Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.75 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Nagoya Railroad Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Nagoya Railroad Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nagoya Railroad Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Nagoya Railroad Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nagoya Railroad Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Nagoya Railroad Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nagoya Railroad Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9223+0.528 * 0.7483+0.404 * 0.9659+0.892 * 1.1234+0.115 * 1.04
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.034406-0.327 * 1.0065
=-2.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円62,943 Mil.
Revenue was 円551,504 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円73,247 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円226,902 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,231,378 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円854,026 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円38,662 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円304,067 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円381,627 Mil.
Net Income was 円18,850 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円61,217 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円60,748 Mil.
Revenue was 円490,919 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円48,787 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円211,596 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,186,897 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円825,163 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円38,922 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円264,512 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円392,177 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(62943 / 551504) / (60748 / 490919)
=0.11413 / 0.123743
=0.9223

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(48787 / 490919) / (73247 / 551504)
=0.099379 / 0.132813
=0.7483

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (226902 + 854026) / 1231378) / (1 - (211596 + 825163) / 1186897)
=0.12218 / 0.126496
=0.9659

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=551504 / 490919
=1.1234

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(38922 / (38922 + 825163)) / (38662 / (38662 + 854026))
=0.045044 / 0.04331
=1.04

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 551504) / (0 / 490919)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((381627 + 304067) / 1231378) / ((392177 + 264512) / 1186897)
=0.556851 / 0.553282
=1.0065

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(18850 - 0 - 61217) / 1231378
=-0.034406

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nagoya Railroad Co has a M-score of -2.75 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Nagoya Railroad Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Nagoya Railroad Co (TSE:9048) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-2-4 Meieki, Nakamura-ku, Nagoya, JPN, 450-8501
Nagoya Railroad Co Ltd is a transportation company domiciled in Japan. The company organizes itself into six segments: traffic, transport, real estate, leisure and services, aviation services and distribution. Traffic, which contributes the most significant portion of revenue, operates railways, buses, and taxis. The transport segment operates trucking and maritime transport operations. The real estate segment develops and leases real estate. Leisure and services operate hotels, restaurants, and other tourist facilities. The distribution segment operates department stores.

Nagoya Railroad Co (TSE:9048) Headlines

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