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Tobu Railway Co (TSE:9001) Beneish M-Score : -2.62 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Tobu Railway Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tobu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9001' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.81   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.36
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tobu Railway Co was -2.36. The lowest was -2.81. And the median was -2.59.


Tobu Railway Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tobu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tobu Railway Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Tobu Railway Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -2.40 -2.36 -2.51 -2.62

Tobu Railway Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.51 - - - -2.62

Competitive Comparison of Tobu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, Tobu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tobu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Tobu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tobu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tobu Railway Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tobu Railway Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8567+0.528 * 0.9245+0.404 * 1.2383+0.892 * 1.0345+0.115 * 0.9894
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.025542-0.327 * 0.9249
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円76,963 Mil.
Revenue was 円635,964 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円194,465 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円168,953 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,704,063 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,367,269 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円53,302 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円386,322 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円622,191 Mil.
Net Income was 円48,164 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円91,690 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円86,836 Mil.
Revenue was 円614,751 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円173,792 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円206,090 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,738,195 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,393,848 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円53,739 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円459,439 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円652,752 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(76963 / 635964) / (86836 / 614751)
=0.121018 / 0.141254
=0.8567

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(173792 / 614751) / (194465 / 635964)
=0.282703 / 0.30578
=0.9245

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (168953 + 1367269) / 1704063) / (1 - (206090 + 1393848) / 1738195)
=0.098495 / 0.079541
=1.2383

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=635964 / 614751
=1.0345

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(53739 / (53739 + 1393848)) / (53302 / (53302 + 1367269))
=0.037123 / 0.037522
=0.9894

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 635964) / (0 / 614751)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((622191 + 386322) / 1704063) / ((652752 + 459439) / 1738195)
=0.591828 / 0.639854
=0.9249

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(48164 - 0 - 91690) / 1704063
=-0.025542

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tobu Railway Co has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tobu Railway Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tobu Railway Co (TSE:9001) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1-2 1-2 Oshiage, Sumida-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 131-8522
Tobu Railway is a transportation and industrial company domiciled in Japan. The company organises itself into five segments: transportation, leisure, real estate, retail distribution, and others. Transportation, which contributes the most significant portion of revenue, operates passenger transportation services through rail, bus, and taxi, and freight and delivery services. Retail distribution, the next most significant segment, operates department stores and a chain of supermarkets. The leisure segment operates hotels, theme parks, golf courses, and related leisure businesses. The real estate segment leases real estate and operates bicycle and parking lot businesses.

Tobu Railway Co (TSE:9001) Headlines

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