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Orix Jreit (TSE:8954) Beneish M-Score : -2.45 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.45 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8954' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: -2.37   Max: -1.69
Current: -2.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orix Jreit was -1.69. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.37.


Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score Chart

Orix Jreit Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.25 -2.67 -2.41 -2.45

Orix Jreit Semi-Annual Data
Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.41 - -2.45 -

Competitive Comparison of Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score

For the REIT - Office subindustry, Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orix Jreit's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orix Jreit for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0183+0.528 * 1.1215+0.404 * 1.0729+0.892 * 1.0302+0.115 * 1.0328
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9686+4.679 * -0.025902-0.327 * 0.998
=-2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug23) TTM:Last Year (Aug22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,370 Mil.
Revenue was 円51,367 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円24,831 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円51,668 Mil.
Total Assets was 円677,836 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円618,495 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円7,955 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,214 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円45,244 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円254,979 Mil.
Net Income was 円19,053 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円36,610 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円1,306 Mil.
Revenue was 円49,863 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円27,033 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円58,485 Mil.
Total Assets was 円682,981 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円617,290 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円8,204 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,221 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円53,822 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円249,287 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1370 / 51367) / (1306 / 49863)
=0.026671 / 0.026192
=1.0183

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(27033 / 49863) / (24831 / 51367)
=0.542145 / 0.483404
=1.1215

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (51668 + 618495) / 677836) / (1 - (58485 + 617290) / 682981)
=0.01132 / 0.010551
=1.0729

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=51367 / 49863
=1.0302

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8204 / (8204 + 617290)) / (7955 / (7955 + 618495))
=0.013116 / 0.012699
=1.0328

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3214 / 51367) / (3221 / 49863)
=0.062569 / 0.064597
=0.9686

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((254979 + 45244) / 677836) / ((249287 + 53822) / 682981)
=0.442914 / 0.443803
=0.998

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(19053 - 0 - 36610) / 677836
=-0.025902

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orix Jreit has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Orix Jreit Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Orix Jreit (TSE:8954) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4-1, Hamamatsucho 2-chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-6135
Orix Jreit Inc is a real estate investment trust engaged in the acquisition, ownership, and leasing of properties throughout Japan. In terms of asset acquisition price, the majority of the company's real estate portfolio comprises office buildings. Retail facilities and residential properties together also make up a considerable percentage of this portfolio. Orix JREIT's real estate assets are mostly located in the Greater Tokyo area, with those in the Central Wards of Tokyo representing the largest geographic segment in terms of property acquisition price. The company derives nearly all of its income in the form of rental revenue from tenants. Finance and real estate, transportation, and retail companies are Orix JREIT's major customers.

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