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Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Beneish M-Score : -2.08 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Nabtesco Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nabtesco's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:6268' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.53   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nabtesco was -2.08. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.53.


Nabtesco Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nabtesco's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nabtesco Beneish M-Score Chart

Nabtesco Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.86 -2.55 -2.28 -2.53 -2.08

Nabtesco Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -2.33 -2.48 -2.08 -

Competitive Comparison of Nabtesco's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Nabtesco's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nabtesco's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Nabtesco's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nabtesco's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Nabtesco Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nabtesco for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9681+0.528 * 1.0026+0.404 * 1.6029+0.892 * 1.0808+0.115 * 1.0232
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0376+4.679 * 0.007999-0.327 * 0.7664
=-2.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円84,432 Mil.
Revenue was 90047 + 80587 + 80804 + 82193 = 円333,631 Mil.
Gross Profit was 22812 + 19333 + 19094 + 21423 = 円82,662 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円220,847 Mil.
Total Assets was 円422,065 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円116,435 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円15,469 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円66,861 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円119,491 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円8,233 Mil.
Net Income was 1261 + 3841 + 2752 + 6699 = 円14,553 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3081 + -3541 + 9323 + 2314 = 円11,177 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円80,693 Mil.
Revenue was 89759 + 76737 + 71809 + 70386 = 円308,691 Mil.
Gross Profit was 23144 + 18013 + 17325 + 18202 = 円76,684 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円295,524 Mil.
Total Assets was 円459,293 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円106,211 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円14,483 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円59,620 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円172,577 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円8,769 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(84432 / 333631) / (80693 / 308691)
=0.25307 / 0.261404
=0.9681

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(76684 / 308691) / (82662 / 333631)
=0.248417 / 0.247765
=1.0026

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (220847 + 116435) / 422065) / (1 - (295524 + 106211) / 459293)
=0.200877 / 0.125319
=1.6029

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=333631 / 308691
=1.0808

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(14483 / (14483 + 106211)) / (15469 / (15469 + 116435))
=0.119998 / 0.117275
=1.0232

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(66861 / 333631) / (59620 / 308691)
=0.200404 / 0.193138
=1.0376

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8233 + 119491) / 422065) / ((8769 + 172577) / 459293)
=0.302617 / 0.394837
=0.7664

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14553 - 0 - 11177) / 422065
=0.007999

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nabtesco has a M-score of -2.08 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Nabtesco Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Nabtesco (TSE:6268) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
JA Kyosai Bldg., 7-9, Hirakawacho 2-chome, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 102-0093
Nabtesco manufactures and sells motion control technology-based components and equipment to various industries. Its four main segments include: component solutions, transport solutions, accessibility solutions, and manufacturing solutions. The company has the leading global share with its precision reduction gears for industrial robots, as well as the top share in Japan with its key products for other segments, and it has a long-term record of supplying its products to major players in their respective industries, such as Fanuc, Boeing, Komatsu, and Japan Railways. The company was established in 2003 as a result of the merger of Teijin Seiki and Nabco, and is headquartered in Tokyo.

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