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Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co (TSE:3877) Beneish M-Score : -2.18 (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.18 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3877' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -2.5   Max: -2.18
Current: -2.18

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co was -2.18. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.50.


Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.98 -2.68 -2.56 -2.18

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.18 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0252+0.528 * 1.1132+0.404 * 1.0368+0.892 * 1.1727+0.115 * 1.0573
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9199+4.679 * 0.003161-0.327 * 0.9641
=-2.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円27,317 Mil.
Revenue was 円105,668 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円14,611 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円53,943 Mil.
Total Assets was 円122,751 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円52,080 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円5,823 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円8,448 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円47,239 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円17,809 Mil.
Net Income was 円3,050 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円2,662 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円22,720 Mil.
Revenue was 円90,104 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円13,869 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円53,301 Mil.
Total Assets was 円122,029 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円52,688 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円6,269 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円7,831 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円46,569 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円20,502 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(27317 / 105668) / (22720 / 90104)
=0.258517 / 0.252153
=1.0252

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13869 / 90104) / (14611 / 105668)
=0.153922 / 0.138273
=1.1132

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (53943 + 52080) / 122751) / (1 - (53301 + 52688) / 122029)
=0.136276 / 0.131444
=1.0368

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=105668 / 90104
=1.1727

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6269 / (6269 + 52688)) / (5823 / (5823 + 52080))
=0.106332 / 0.100565
=1.0573

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8448 / 105668) / (7831 / 90104)
=0.079949 / 0.086911
=0.9199

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17809 + 47239) / 122751) / ((20502 + 46569) / 122029)
=0.529918 / 0.549632
=0.9641

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3050 - 0 - 2662) / 122751
=0.003161

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co has a M-score of -2.18 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co (TSE:3877) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2-10-6 Ginza, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 1048124
Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of paper and pulp products. It offers varied products in following categories; paper and pulp manufacturing unit produces newsprint, printing paper, packaging paper, and special paper, paperboard, and pulp products. The Paper-processed Products include paper bags, paper tubes, cardboard boxes, and notebooks. The Power unit deals with the sale of electricity. It is also involved in the forestry, lumbering, and wood processing activities; manufacture, buying, and sale of chemicals; management, leasing, buying, and sale of real estate properties.

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