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Tokushu Tokai Paper Co (TSE:3708) Beneish M-Score : -2.24 (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3708' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.93   Med: -2.68   Max: -2.24
Current: -2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tokushu Tokai Paper Co was -2.24. The lowest was -2.93. And the median was -2.68.


Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.78 -2.79 -2.60 -2.24

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.24 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokushu Tokai Paper Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tokushu Tokai Paper Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9746+0.528 * 1.3932+0.404 * 0.8768+0.892 * 1.0424+0.115 * 1.0007
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.01255-0.327 * 0.9648
=-2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円26,696 Mil.
Revenue was 円84,130 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円8,798 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円51,479 Mil.
Total Assets was 円123,347 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円57,108 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円6,170 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円31,594 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円10,368 Mil.
Net Income was 円4,130 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円2,582 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円26,279 Mil.
Revenue was 円80,711 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円11,759 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円49,423 Mil.
Total Assets was 円125,430 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円58,888 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円6,367 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円34,930 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円9,299 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(26696 / 84130) / (26279 / 80711)
=0.317318 / 0.325594
=0.9746

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(11759 / 80711) / (8798 / 84130)
=0.145693 / 0.104576
=1.3932

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (51479 + 57108) / 123347) / (1 - (49423 + 58888) / 125430)
=0.119662 / 0.136483
=0.8768

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=84130 / 80711
=1.0424

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6367 / (6367 + 58888)) / (6170 / (6170 + 57108))
=0.097571 / 0.097506
=1.0007

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 84130) / (0 / 80711)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10368 + 31594) / 123347) / ((9299 + 34930) / 125430)
=0.340195 / 0.352619
=0.9648

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4130 - 0 - 2582) / 123347
=0.01255

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co has a M-score of -2.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tokushu Tokai Paper Co (TSE:3708) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Zyouwa Yaesu Build 6F, Tokyo, JPN
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co Ltd manufactures and sells a variety of paper products. The company organizes itself into three primary divisions based on product type. The special-use paper division sells specialized paper that is used for food packaging, art printing, and securities protection. The industrial paper division sells paper that is used for fresh vegetable and cosmetic packaging, as well as water repellent paper. The household products division sells coffee and tea filter paper as well as other paper products used for cooking.

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