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Asahi Kasei (TSE:3407) Beneish M-Score : -2.74 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3407' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.9   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.26
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Asahi Kasei was -2.26. The lowest was -2.90. And the median was -2.58.


Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score Chart

Asahi Kasei Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.58 -2.76 -2.26 -2.74

Asahi Kasei Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.74 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asahi Kasei's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Asahi Kasei for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9196+0.528 * 1.102+0.404 * 0.8773+0.892 * 1.1077+0.115 * 0.9221
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.052718-0.327 * 1.0946
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円442,692 Mil.
Revenue was 円2,726,485 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円773,776 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円1,488,195 Mil.
Total Assets was 円3,454,526 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円871,701 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円176,651 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円912,163 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円607,950 Mil.
Net Income was 円-91,312 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円90,804 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円434,595 Mil.
Revenue was 円2,461,317 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円769,769 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円1,334,209 Mil.
Total Assets was 円3,349,075 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円805,215 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円148,129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円923,850 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円422,500 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(442692 / 2726485) / (434595 / 2461317)
=0.162367 / 0.17657
=0.9196

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(769769 / 2461317) / (773776 / 2726485)
=0.312747 / 0.2838
=1.102

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1488195 + 871701) / 3454526) / (1 - (1334209 + 805215) / 3349075)
=0.316868 / 0.36119
=0.8773

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2726485 / 2461317
=1.1077

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(148129 / (148129 + 805215)) / (176651 / (176651 + 871701))
=0.155378 / 0.168504
=0.9221

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2726485) / (0 / 2461317)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((607950 + 912163) / 3454526) / ((422500 + 923850) / 3349075)
=0.440035 / 0.402007
=1.0946

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-91312 - 0 - 90804) / 3454526
=-0.052718

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Asahi Kasei has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Asahi Kasei Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Asahi Kasei (TSE:3407) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-105 Kanda Jinbocho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-8101
Asahi Kasei Corp is a holding company that, through its subsidiaries, sells a variety of products and services. The firm is organized into four segments based on product or service. The chemicals and fibers segment, which generates the most revenue of any segment, sells ammonia-based products including plastic compounds and cellulose fiber. The homes and construction segment builds residential houses and sells thermal insulation. The electronics segment sells components for mobile phones including electronic compasses and lithium-ion battery separators. The healthcare segment sells medical devices including blood purification, blood transfusion, and bioprocess products. The majority of revenue comes from Japan.

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