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Lawson (TSE:2651) Beneish M-Score : -3.09 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Lawson Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.09 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lawson's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2651' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.09   Med: -2.29   Max: -2.11
Current: -3.09

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lawson was -2.11. The lowest was -3.09. And the median was -2.29.


Lawson Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lawson's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lawson Beneish M-Score Chart

Lawson Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -2.46 -2.37 -2.95 -3.09

Lawson Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.95 -3.71 -3.42 -3.44 -3.09

Competitive Comparison of Lawson's Beneish M-Score

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Lawson's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lawson's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Lawson's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lawson's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lawson Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lawson for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9633+0.528 * 0.9882+0.404 * 1.0502+0.892 * 1.0875+0.115 * 0.9909
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9656+4.679 * -0.144176-0.327 * 0.9855
=-3.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb24) TTM:Last Year (Feb23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円234,295 Mil.
Revenue was 273821 + 268651 + 281391 + 264100 = 円1,087,963 Mil.
Gross Profit was 146580 + 142425 + 150777 + 140533 = 円580,315 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円715,868 Mil.
Total Assets was 円2,297,498 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,251,339 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円213,287 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円486,224 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,011,192 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円916,204 Mil.
Net Income was 6266 + 13479 + 16307 + 16095 = 円52,147 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 82131 + 123804 + -16909 + 194364 = 円383,390 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円223,648 Mil.
Revenue was 253401 + 256048 + 254870 + 236065 = 円1,000,384 Mil.
Gross Profit was 133226 + 135033 + 134706 + 124344 = 円527,309 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円679,839 Mil.
Total Assets was 円2,242,421 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,255,631 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円211,745 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円462,997 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円905,279 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,003,588 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(234295 / 1087963) / (223648 / 1000384)
=0.215352 / 0.223562
=0.9633

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(527309 / 1000384) / (580315 / 1087963)
=0.527107 / 0.533396
=0.9882

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (715868 + 1251339) / 2297498) / (1 - (679839 + 1255631) / 2242421)
=0.143761 / 0.136884
=1.0502

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1087963 / 1000384
=1.0875

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(211745 / (211745 + 1255631)) / (213287 / (213287 + 1251339))
=0.144302 / 0.145626
=0.9909

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(486224 / 1087963) / (462997 / 1000384)
=0.446912 / 0.462819
=0.9656

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((916204 + 1011192) / 2297498) / ((1003588 + 905279) / 2242421)
=0.838911 / 0.851253
=0.9855

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(52147 - 0 - 383390) / 2297498
=-0.144176

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lawson has a M-score of -3.09 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lawson (TSE:2651) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
East Tower, Gate City Osaki, 11-2, Osaki 1-chome, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 141-8643
Lawson is the third-largest convenience-store operator in Japan with more than 14,500 stores domestically, and more than 3,400 stores overseas with more than 90% of stores located in China. Convenience-store operations inclusive of franchise fees represent about 55% of group operating revenue and 75% of operating profits. Other activities include Seijo Ishii (an upscale food-store chain with 163 stores in Japan as of November 2020) and entertainment businesses comprising cinema operations with 43 theaters, the HMV music store chain, and Lawson HMV ticketing services.

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