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Shandong Head Group Co (SZSE:002810) Beneish M-Score : -2.21 (As of Jun. 11, 2024)


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What is Shandong Head Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shandong Head Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002810' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.91   Med: -2.38   Max: -0.28
Current: -2.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shandong Head Group Co was -0.28. The lowest was -3.91. And the median was -2.38.


Shandong Head Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shandong Head Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shandong Head Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Shandong Head Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.17 -3.05 -2.34 -2.12

Shandong Head Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.64 -2.05 -2.12 -2.21

Competitive Comparison of Shandong Head Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Shandong Head Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shandong Head Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Shandong Head Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shandong Head Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Shandong Head Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shandong Head Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1408+0.528 * 1.1715+0.404 * 1.4465+0.892 * 0.9472+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3103+4.679 * -0.010182-0.327 * 0.9583
=-2.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥473 Mil.
Revenue was 435.373 + 377.741 + 428.101 + 375.371 = ¥1,617 Mil.
Gross Profit was 109.122 + 91.4 + 130.238 + 118.007 = ¥449 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥1,126 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥3,850 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,299 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥64 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥845 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥616 Mil.
Net Income was 53.603 + -9.321 + 72.621 + 84.107 = ¥201 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 53.693 + 81.795 + 34.95 + 69.771 = ¥240 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥438 Mil.
Revenue was 375.013 + 391.386 + 424.713 + 515.536 = ¥1,707 Mil.
Gross Profit was 116.24 + 115.604 + 132.582 + 190.579 = ¥555 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥834 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥3,322 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,235 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥51 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥879 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥437 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(472.922 / 1616.586) / (437.654 / 1706.648)
=0.292544 / 0.256441
=1.1408

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(555.005 / 1706.648) / (448.767 / 1616.586)
=0.325202 / 0.277602
=1.1715

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1125.541 + 2298.908) / 3849.934) / (1 - (833.791 + 2234.531) / 3322.151)
=0.110517 / 0.076405
=1.4465

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1616.586 / 1706.648
=0.9472

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 2234.531)) / (0 / (0 + 2298.908))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(63.526 / 1616.586) / (51.184 / 1706.648)
=0.039296 / 0.029991
=1.3103

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((616.141 + 845.079) / 3849.934) / ((436.611 + 879.151) / 3322.151)
=0.379544 / 0.396057
=0.9583

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(201.01 - 0 - 240.209) / 3849.934
=-0.010182

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shandong Head Group Co has a M-score of -2.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Shandong Head Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Shandong Head Group Co (SZSE:002810) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 999 Heda Road, Shandong Province, Zhoucun District, Zibo, CHN, 255300
Shandong Head Group Co Ltd is engaged in research and development, production and sales of water-soluble polymer compounds. Its products include cellulose ether series products, graphite chemical equipment, HPMC plant capsules, trimethyl orthoacetate, diacetone acrylamide. The company has two production divisions, the Cellulose Ether Division and the Graphite Equipment Division.
Executives
Bi Song Ling Directors, Directors, and Executives
Qiu Jian Jun Executives
Yang Bing Sheng Executives
Bi Si Xin Executives
Yang Bing Gang Director
Tan Zai Ying Directors, executives
Cui Ling Executives
Hu Li Li Securities Affairs Representative
Bi Xin De Director
Bi Yu Zhuang Supervisors

Shandong Head Group Co (SZSE:002810) Headlines

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